Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/14 Game 2
Ishii Kazuma finished 1st (+69.6pt). The game was decided in East 2: Ishii Kazuma tsumo 12,000, which moved Ishii Kazuma's expected points by +31.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Ishii Kazuma 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Ishii Kazuma Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 2,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 26% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -7.0 | +0.9 | +7.0 | -0.9 |
| East 2 | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 26% | 31% | 24% | -9.7 | +31.5 | -12.3 | -9.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 49% | 20% | 17% | -11.8 | +29.6 | -9.0 | -8.8 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 78% | 9% | 8% | +31.0 | -14.7 | -6.5 | -9.7 |
| East 3 | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 64% | 11% | 8% | -5.8 | +22.3 | -11.3 | -5.2 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Sonoda Ken | 8% | 88% | 2% | 3% | +0.5 | -1.3 | -7.6 | +8.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Ishii Kazuma | 8% | 86% | 2% | 4% | -1.1 | +0.9 | +2.3 | -2.0 |
| South 1 | Draw | 6% | 90% | 2% | 2% | +1.5 | -1.9 | +2.5 | -2.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 2,000 from Ishii Kazuma | 8% | 87% | 2% | 3% | -2.6 | -1.0 | +7.1 | -3.6 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 3% | 91% | 3% | 3% | +9.1 | 0.0 | +0.6 | -9.8 |
| South 3 | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 1,100 | 3% | 93% | 2% | 1% | +1.8 | +3.3 | -3.4 | -1.7 |
| South 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 1% | 98% | 0% | 1% | -1.7 | 0.0 | -28.1 | +29.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 97% | 0% | 2% | +5.3 | +1.0 | -0.6 | -5.7 |