Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/14 Game 2
Kazuma Ishii finished 1st (+69.6pt). The game was decided in East 2: Kazuma Ishii tsumo 12,000, which moved Kazuma Ishii's expected points by +33.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Kazuma Ishii 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Kazuma Ishii Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 2,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 25% | 26% | 23% | 26% | -8.1 | -0.1 | +11.5 | -3.2 |
| East 2 | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 25% | 31% | 25% | -10.0 | +33.2 | -12.7 | -10.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 51% | 19% | 17% | -10.8 | +25.8 | -5.7 | -9.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 76% | 11% | 8% | +30.2 | -13.1 | -10.3 | -6.7 |
| East 3 | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 64% | 10% | 8% | -6.3 | +22.7 | -9.5 | -6.9 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda | 7% | 88% | 2% | 3% | -0.3 | -0.8 | -7.5 | +8.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 1,000 from Kazuma Ishii | 7% | 86% | 2% | 4% | +0.8 | +0.3 | +0.3 | -1.4 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 89% | 2% | 2% | +0.8 | -1.7 | +3.4 | -2.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 2,000 from Kazuma Ishii | 8% | 87% | 3% | 3% | -1.8 | -0.9 | +6.6 | -3.9 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Takaharu Ooi | 4% | 91% | 3% | 2% | +9.4 | -0.5 | +1.2 | -10.1 |
| South 3 | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 1,100 | 3% | 93% | 2% | 1% | +1.3 | +4.0 | -3.4 | -1.9 |
| South 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda | 1% | 98% | 0% | 1% | -1.9 | -0.3 | -28.2 | +30.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 1,500 | 1% | 97% | 0% | 2% | +5.4 | +0.8 | -0.3 | -5.9 |