Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

11/14 Table B Game 1

Genta Takeuchi finished 1st (+55.5pt). The game was decided in East 1: Genta Takeuchi tsumo 8,000, which moved Genta Takeuchi's expected points by +23.4.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Genta Takeuchi● Namba Shibukawa● Naoki Setokuma● Geki Shimoishi0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Genta● Namba● Naoki● Geki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultNamba Shibukawa
1st-place chance
Naoki Setokuma
1st-place chance
Geki Shimoishi
1st-place chance
Genta Takeuchi
1st-place chance
Namba Shibukawa
Expected pt change
Naoki Setokuma
Expected pt change
Geki Shimoishi
Expected pt change
Genta Takeuchi
Expected pt change
East 1Genta Takeuchi tsumo 8,00024%25%25%26%-11.2-6.9-5.3+23.4
East 2Genta Takeuchi ron 2,000 from Naoki Setokuma16%19%21%43%+0.5-7.1-2.3+8.8
East 3Geki Shimoishi ron 1,500 from Namba Shibukawa15%15%18%52%-3.5-0.5+2.4+1.6
East 3, 1 honbaGenta Takeuchi ron 1,300 from Namba Shibukawa13%14%20%54%-4.1+1.30.0+2.8
East 4Namba Shibukawa tsumo 4,00011%15%18%57%+11.6-3.0-5.9-2.7
South 1Namba Shibukawa ron 1,500 from Naoki Setokuma17%13%14%56%+6.2-7.7+1.9-0.5
South 1, 1 honbaNaoki Setokuma tsumo 8,00020%9%14%56%-16.8+27.6-8.4-2.4
South 2Genta Takeuchi ron 2,000 from Namba Shibukawa10%24%13%53%-7.8-1.0-2.3+11.1
South 3Genta Takeuchi ron 1,000 from Naoki Setokuma4%16%10%69%-3.0-1.9-5.5+10.5
South 4Namba Shibukawa tsumo 2,0001%7%2%89%+9.7+3.6-15.5+2.3

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)