Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/14 Table B Game 2
Hagiwara Masato finished 1st (+54.2pt). The game was decided in East 3: Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Akutsu Shota, which moved Hagiwara Masato's expected points by +30.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Akutsu Shota 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Akutsu Shota Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Akutsu Shota tsumo 16,000 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -20.6 | -8.7 | -10.2 | +39.5 |
| East 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 11% | 16% | 15% | 59% | -0.6 | -25.1 | +24.5 | +1.3 |
| East 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Akutsu Shota | 9% | 6% | 27% | 59% | +0.9 | +0.6 | +30.7 | -32.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 9% | 6% | 61% | 25% | -2.1 | +4.7 | -0.7 | -1.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Nakada Kana ron 3,900 from Akutsu Shota | 8% | 6% | 63% | 23% | +16.7 | -3.7 | +1.7 | -14.7 |
| South 1 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Akutsu Shota | 15% | 5% | 67% | 14% | -3.1 | +21.2 | +5.4 | -23.5 |
| South 2 | Akutsu Shota tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 9% | 76% | 5% | -11.5 | -23.2 | -4.1 | +38.8 |
| South 3 | Draw | 5% | 2% | 74% | 20% | -3.6 | +2.6 | +1.9 | -0.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 2,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 2% | 1% | 81% | 15% | -17.6 | +13.2 | +6.2 | -1.8 |