Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/17 Game 2
Kana Nakada finished 1st (+52.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Kana Nakada tsumo 5,200, which moved Kana Nakada's expected points by +48.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,000 | 27% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -4.9 | +8.8 | -0.7 | -3.2 |
| East 2 | Kana Nakada ron 2,600 from Go Kobayashi | 22% | 31% | 25% | 23% | -7.2 | -0.6 | +10.2 | -2.4 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 2,000 | 18% | 30% | 31% | 22% | +5.7 | -1.2 | -4.0 | -0.5 |
| East 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 22% | 29% | 27% | 22% | +26.1 | -23.5 | +0.7 | -3.3 |
| South 1 | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,300 from Go Kobayashi | 41% | 14% | 27% | 18% | -4.0 | +2.5 | +2.2 | -0.6 |
| South 2 | Mari Takamiya ron 5,200 from Takaharu Ooi | 38% | 16% | 29% | 18% | +5.3 | -23.8 | +0.6 | +17.9 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 43% | 4% | 26% | 27% | +7.4 | -2.8 | -3.2 | -1.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kana Nakada tsumo 5,200 | 57% | 2% | 19% | 23% | -21.0 | -4.8 | +48.2 | -22.5 |