Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/17 Game 2
Nakada Kana finished 1st (+52.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Nakada Kana tsumo 5,200, which moved Nakada Kana's expected points by +49.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,000 | 25% | 23% | 28% | 24% | -3.4 | +9.2 | -4.5 | -1.4 |
| East 2 | Nakada Kana ron 2,600 from Kobayashi Go | 22% | 30% | 24% | 24% | -7.3 | -1.0 | +11.5 | -3.2 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,000 | 19% | 28% | 31% | 22% | +6.7 | 0.0 | -6.0 | -0.6 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 22% | 29% | 27% | 22% | +26.1 | -23.8 | +1.8 | -4.0 |
| South 1 | Ooi Takaharu ron 1,300 from Kobayashi Go | 43% | 13% | 28% | 16% | -4.9 | +3.0 | +1.1 | +0.9 |
| South 2 | Takamiya Mari ron 5,200 from Ooi Takaharu | 39% | 15% | 28% | 18% | +6.4 | -21.9 | -2.2 | +17.7 |
| South 3 | Draw | 46% | 4% | 23% | 27% | +7.5 | -3.4 | -1.1 | -2.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Nakada Kana tsumo 5,200 | 61% | 2% | 16% | 21% | -22.8 | -5.4 | +49.0 | -20.9 |