Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/18 Game 2
Futoshi Watanabe finished 1st (+54.4pt). The game was decided in East 1: Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 8,000, which moved Futoshi Watanabe's expected points by +24.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 25% | 24% | 24% | -15.2 | +24.1 | -3.3 | -5.6 |
| East 2 | HIRO Shibata tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 43% | 22% | 20% | +34.5 | -16.7 | -10.3 | -7.5 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 41% | 27% | 15% | 17% | +0.8 | +5.8 | -4.0 | -2.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 1,000 from Mari Takamiya | 41% | 33% | 12% | 14% | +0.6 | +8.9 | -6.1 | -3.4 |
| South 1 | Mari Takamiya ron 3,900 from Futoshi Watanabe | 41% | 39% | 9% | 10% | +1.9 | -11.3 | +10.8 | -1.4 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 45% | 30% | 14% | 11% | -4.6 | +8.3 | -2.3 | -1.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 3,900 | 39% | 37% | 13% | 11% | -7.3 | +17.1 | -4.8 | -5.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | HIRO Shibata tsumo 2,000 | 28% | 56% | 9% | 7% | +10.3 | -4.4 | -2.5 | -3.4 |
| South 3 | Aki Nikaido ron 3,900 from Mari Takamiya | 36% | 50% | 7% | 6% | +1.9 | +4.2 | -19.3 | +13.1 |
| South 4 | Mari Takamiya ron 6,400 from HIRO Shibata | 35% | 57% | 0% | 7% | -18.7 | +18.6 | +23.0 | -22.9 |