Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/18 Game 2
Watanabe Futoshi finished 1st (+54.4pt). The game was decided in East 1: Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 8,000, which moved Watanabe Futoshi's expected points by +27.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -16.2 | +27.0 | -4.5 | -6.3 |
| East 2 | HIRO Shibata tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 46% | 20% | 19% | +38.3 | -22.2 | -8.1 | -8.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 44% | 24% | 16% | 16% | -3.4 | +8.1 | -3.4 | -1.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 1,000 from Takamiya Mari | 40% | 32% | 13% | 15% | +1.9 | +9.0 | -4.9 | -6.0 |
| South 1 | Takamiya Mari ron 3,900 from Watanabe Futoshi | 40% | 41% | 10% | 10% | +2.1 | -11.6 | +8.5 | +1.0 |
| South 2 | Draw | 46% | 29% | 13% | 12% | -2.9 | +8.2 | -1.8 | -3.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 3,900 | 41% | 36% | 13% | 10% | -7.4 | +15.5 | -4.9 | -3.2 |
| South 2, 2 honba | HIRO Shibata tsumo 2,000 | 29% | 54% | 10% | 7% | +10.1 | -3.2 | -1.8 | -5.1 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Aki ron 3,900 from Takamiya Mari | 38% | 49% | 8% | 5% | -0.2 | +6.1 | -19.9 | +14.0 |
| South 4 | Takamiya Mari ron 6,400 from HIRO Shibata | 34% | 59% | 0% | 7% | -18.0 | +18.0 | +22.4 | -22.4 |