Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/20 Game 1
Okada Sayaka finished 1st (+77.7pt). The game was decided in South 1: Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000, which moved Okada Sayaka's expected points by +33.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -7.6 | +5.4 | +1.3 | +0.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 20% | 30% | 26% | 24% | -1.4 | -27.2 | -1.4 | +30.0 |
| East 3 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 8,000 from Tojyo Rio | 17% | 11% | 23% | 49% | -1.1 | +21.9 | -22.9 | +2.1 |
| East 4 | Okada Sayaka ron 5,200 from Daigo Hiroshi | 17% | 21% | 11% | 51% | +19.9 | -17.7 | -1.9 | -0.3 |
| South 1 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 28% | 12% | 8% | 52% | +33.6 | -8.8 | -7.2 | -17.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 63% | 7% | 5% | 25% | +24.6 | -7.1 | -8.6 | -9.0 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 88% | 2% | 1% | 9% | +16.8 | +5.4 | +3.3 | -25.5 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 12,000 | 97% | 1% | 1% | 1% | -8.0 | +27.0 | -9.2 | -9.7 |
| South 2 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 18,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 96% | 3% | 0% | 1% | -3.5 | +27.4 | +7.0 | -30.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,300 from Daigo Hiroshi | 87% | 13% | 0% | 0% | +4.1 | -6.2 | +0.6 | +1.5 |
| South 3 | Tojyo Rio ron 2,900 from Katsumata Kenji | 96% | 4% | 0% | 0% | -0.8 | +0.2 | +6.9 | -6.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 94% | 5% | 1% | 0% | -0.1 | -2.4 | -9.1 | +11.7 |
| South 4 | Draw | 98% | 1% | 0% | 0% | +0.7 | +0.3 | +5.7 | -6.8 |