Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

11/20 Game 2

Genta Takeuchi finished 1st (+53.3pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Genta Takeuchi ron 12,000 from Aki Nikaido, which moved Genta Takeuchi's expected points by +44.3.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1South 2End● Genta Takeuchi● Aki Nikaido● Geki Shimoishi● Shingo Hori0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Genta● Aki● Geki● Shingo
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultAki Nikaido
1st-place chance
Geki Shimoishi
1st-place chance
Genta Takeuchi
1st-place chance
Shingo Hori
1st-place chance
Aki Nikaido
Expected pt change
Geki Shimoishi
Expected pt change
Genta Takeuchi
Expected pt change
Shingo Hori
Expected pt change
East 1Geki Shimoishi ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido26%25%25%25%-23.6+19.9+1.4+2.3
East 2Shingo Hori ron 5,200 from Geki Shimoishi12%38%25%24%+1.0-17.0-1.9+17.9
East 3Shingo Hori ron 5,200 from Geki Shimoishi13%25%23%39%-2.1-16.7+0.6+18.2
East 4Genta Takeuchi ron 1,000 from Geki Shimoishi10%12%20%58%+0.2-3.2+1.5+1.5
South 1Aki Nikaido ron 1,500 from Genta Takeuchi9%10%19%62%+2.2+1.2-3.0-0.5
South 1, 1 honbaAki Nikaido ron 18,000 from Shingo Hori10%12%18%60%+58.4-1.9-1.7-54.8
South 1, 2 honbaGenta Takeuchi ron 12,000 from Aki Nikaido60%11%17%12%-41.0-1.5+44.3-1.9
South 2Geki Shimoishi ron 1,500 from Shingo Hori14%9%66%11%-0.6+4.9-0.6-3.7
South 2, 1 honbaAki Nikaido ron 2,000 from Genta Takeuchi14%12%65%10%+11.2-5.4-1.6-4.1
South 3Exhaustive draw21%7%64%8%+6.8-0.4-1.8-4.7
South 4, 1 honbaGeki Shimoishi ron 6,400 from Aki Nikaido23%5%64%8%-31.6+28.7+16.3-13.4

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)