Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

11/20 Table B Game 1

Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+59.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Nakabayashi Kei, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +33.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Kurosawa Saki● Shiratori Sho● Miura Tomohiro● Nakabayashi Kei0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Kurosawa● Shiratori● Miura● Nakabayashi
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultShiratori Sho
1st-place chance
Kurosawa Saki
1st-place chance
Miura Tomohiro
1st-place chance
Nakabayashi Kei
1st-place chance
Shiratori Sho
Expected pt change
Kurosawa Saki
Expected pt change
Miura Tomohiro
Expected pt change
Nakabayashi Kei
Expected pt change
East 1Kurosawa Saki tsumo 5,20026%25%25%25%-9.8+13.6-1.9-1.9
East 2Miura Tomohiro tsumo 5,20019%35%23%23%-3.8-8.5+13.4-1.2
East 3Draw17%27%33%24%-3.5-0.7-2.3+6.6
East 4, 1 honbaNakabayashi Kei ron 12,000 from Miura Tomohiro15%27%31%27%+1.9-2.0-35.9+36.0
East 4, 2 honbaMiura Tomohiro tsumo 8,00012%21%8%59%-6.7-5.2+26.1-14.1
South 1Shiratori Sho ron 2,900 from Kurosawa Saki12%21%21%46%+7.5-8.7+2.5-1.3
South 1, 1 honbaShiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Miura Tomohiro15%18%24%44%+14.7-1.1-15.8+2.2
South 1, 2 honbaKurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho24%14%15%47%-31.7+30.4+0.6+0.6
South 2Nakabayashi Kei ron 5,200 from Miura Tomohiro5%35%14%46%+1.2-6.5-18.0+23.2
South 3Draw2%17%4%77%-7.8+2.4+4.9+0.5
South 3, 1 honbaShiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Nakabayashi Kei1%18%5%76%+21.0+12.3-13.3-20.0
South 4Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Nakabayashi Kei7%43%1%49%-2.6+33.2-3.7-26.8

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)