Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/20 Table B Game 1
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+59.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Kei Nakabayashi, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +32.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Miura 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Tomohiro Miura Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 5,200 | 27% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -11.9 | +15.1 | -2.0 | -1.3 |
| East 2 | Tomohiro Miura tsumo 5,200 | 18% | 34% | 24% | 24% | -1.4 | -9.7 | +14.7 | -3.6 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 26% | 34% | 22% | -2.2 | -1.7 | -4.1 | +8.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kei Nakabayashi ron 12,000 from Tomohiro Miura | 17% | 26% | 30% | 27% | 0.0 | -1.4 | -34.2 | +35.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Tomohiro Miura tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 20% | 8% | 58% | -8.6 | -3.7 | +26.5 | -14.2 |
| South 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,900 from Saki Kurosawa | 11% | 21% | 23% | 45% | +8.9 | -8.7 | -0.5 | +0.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 3,900 from Tomohiro Miura | 16% | 16% | 23% | 46% | +13.1 | -0.2 | -13.3 | +0.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 23% | 15% | 16% | 46% | -31.0 | +27.4 | -0.6 | +4.2 |
| South 2 | Kei Nakabayashi ron 5,200 from Tomohiro Miura | 5% | 31% | 13% | 50% | +2.2 | -4.3 | -17.2 | +19.4 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 18% | 5% | 75% | -8.1 | +1.9 | +3.1 | +3.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 1% | 17% | 5% | 78% | +21.0 | +13.5 | -11.0 | -23.5 |
| South 4 | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 8% | 46% | 1% | 45% | -2.6 | +32.1 | -4.7 | -24.8 |