Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

11/20 Table B Game 2

Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+62.5pt). The game was decided in South 3: Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Tomohiro Honda, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +53.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Go Kobayashi● Kazuma Ishii● Yoshihiro Matsumoto● Tomohiro Honda0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Go● Kazuma● Yoshihiro● Tomohiro
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultGo Kobayashi
1st-place chance
Kazuma Ishii
1st-place chance
Yoshihiro Matsumoto
1st-place chance
Tomohiro Honda
1st-place chance
Go Kobayashi
Expected pt change
Kazuma Ishii
Expected pt change
Yoshihiro Matsumoto
Expected pt change
Tomohiro Honda
Expected pt change
East 1Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,00024%24%26%26%-16.6-7.0-6.7+30.3
East 2Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,00013%18%19%51%-4.0-14.0+20.1-2.1
East 3Kazuma Ishii ron 3,900 from Tomohiro Honda10%10%32%49%-0.9+12.0-1.1-10.0
East 4Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,000 from Kazuma Ishii12%17%31%41%-2.1-5.8+8.7-0.9
South 1Go Kobayashi ron 7,700 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto10%14%39%37%+23.5+0.9-24.6+0.2
South 1, 1 honbaKazuma Ishii tsumo 2,70024%15%21%40%-7.8+7.1-0.9+1.7
South 2Tomohiro Honda ron 2,000 from Kazuma Ishii17%19%21%43%+1.9-11.1-2.5+11.7
South 3Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Tomohiro Honda15%10%17%58%+53.7+1.3+0.4-55.4
South 4Go Kobayashi ron 5,200 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto82%4%4%9%+15.1+19.1-35.9+1.8

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)