Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

11/20 Table B Game 2

Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+62.5pt). The game was decided in South 3: Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Honda Tomohiro, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +53.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Kobayashi Go● Ishii Kazuma● Matsumoto Yoshihiro● Honda Tomohiro0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Kobayashi● Ishii● Matsumoto● Honda
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultKobayashi Go
1st-place chance
Ishii Kazuma
1st-place chance
Matsumoto Yoshihiro
1st-place chance
Honda Tomohiro
1st-place chance
Kobayashi Go
Expected pt change
Ishii Kazuma
Expected pt change
Matsumoto Yoshihiro
Expected pt change
Honda Tomohiro
Expected pt change
East 1Honda Tomohiro tsumo 12,00026%24%26%24%-18.3-7.9-7.5+33.7
East 2Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,00013%17%20%51%-5.3-12.1+20.4-3.0
East 3Ishii Kazuma ron 3,900 from Honda Tomohiro10%10%32%48%+0.3+11.7-1.1-10.8
East 4Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,000 from Ishii Kazuma12%16%33%39%-0.9-6.3+7.6-0.4
South 1Kobayashi Go ron 7,700 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro10%13%40%36%+20.4-0.8-23.5+3.9
South 1, 1 honbaIshii Kazuma tsumo 2,70021%14%21%44%-5.3+8.3-3.7+0.7
South 2Honda Tomohiro ron 2,000 from Ishii Kazuma17%18%20%45%+2.2-10.5-1.7+10.0
South 3Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Honda Tomohiro17%9%16%57%+53.0+1.3+1.0-55.3
South 4Kobayashi Go ron 5,200 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro82%4%4%10%+15.1+19.2-35.9+1.6

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)