Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

11/21 Game 2

Geki Shimoishi finished 1st (+64.7pt). The game was decided in South 3: Geki Shimoishi tsumo 8,000, which moved Geki Shimoishi's expected points by +34.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Geki Shimoishi● Shota Akutsu● Takaharu Ooi● Hisato Sasaki0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Geki● Shota● Takaharu● Hisato
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultShota Akutsu
1st-place chance
Geki Shimoishi
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Hisato Sasaki
1st-place chance
Shota Akutsu
Expected pt change
Geki Shimoishi
Expected pt change
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
Hisato Sasaki
Expected pt change
East 1Geki Shimoishi ron 8,000 from Shota Akutsu27%24%24%26%-23.1+22.4+0.6+0.1
East 2Shota Akutsu tsumo 4,00013%41%22%24%+11.1-5.8-0.3-4.9
East 3Hisato Sasaki tsumo 5,20018%36%24%23%-1.6-1.7-13.0+16.3
East 4Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Shota Akutsu18%34%14%34%-33.5-1.4+39.2-4.3
South 1Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,0004%29%41%26%-12.7-8.2-6.7+27.6
South 2Hisato Sasaki ron 2,600 from Takaharu Ooi0%19%29%52%+0.4-4.5-9.0+13.1
South 3Geki Shimoishi tsumo 8,0000%10%18%72%-2.3+34.2-22.7-9.2
South 4Geki Shimoishi ron 8,000 from Shota Akutsu0%44%2%54%-8.2+31.5-1.4-22.0

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)