Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

11/21 Game 2

Shimoishi Geki finished 1st (+64.7pt). The game was decided in South 3: Shimoishi Geki tsumo 8,000, which moved Shimoishi Geki's expected points by +34.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Shimoishi Geki● Akutsu Shota● Ooi Takaharu● Sasaki Hisato0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Shimoishi● Akutsu● Ooi● Sasaki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultAkutsu Shota
1st-place chance
Shimoishi Geki
1st-place chance
Ooi Takaharu
1st-place chance
Sasaki Hisato
1st-place chance
Akutsu Shota
Expected pt change
Shimoishi Geki
Expected pt change
Ooi Takaharu
Expected pt change
Sasaki Hisato
Expected pt change
East 1Shimoishi Geki ron 8,000 from Akutsu Shota24%28%24%24%-21.8+19.1+0.8+1.9
East 2Akutsu Shota tsumo 4,00012%40%24%24%+13.8-7.1-1.4-5.3
East 3Sasaki Hisato tsumo 5,20018%36%23%23%-3.5-0.9-11.4+15.7
East 4Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Akutsu Shota17%34%16%33%-32.8-1.6+38.0-3.6
South 1Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,0004%28%43%25%-12.1-7.5-7.5+27.1
South 2Sasaki Hisato ron 2,600 from Ooi Takaharu0%19%29%51%+0.3-5.9-8.9+14.5
South 3Shimoishi Geki tsumo 8,0000%9%17%75%-2.6+34.7-21.8-10.3
South 4Shimoishi Geki ron 8,000 from Akutsu Shota0%44%3%53%-8.1+31.8-2.4-21.4

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)