Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/21 Table B Game 1
Takaki Asai finished 1st (+59.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Takaki Asai tsumo 16,000, which moved Takaki Asai's expected points by +74.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Takaki Asai 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Takaki Asai Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaki Asai tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -14.4 | -7.4 | +25.7 | -3.8 |
| East 2 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 4,000 | 14% | 20% | 45% | 21% | +12.1 | -6.5 | -2.1 | -3.5 |
| East 3 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 2,000 | 21% | 15% | 42% | 21% | +12.2 | -5.4 | -6.1 | -0.7 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 31% | 13% | 36% | 20% | -2.0 | -26.5 | -5.1 | +33.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 24% | 3% | 29% | 44% | +24.6 | -0.1 | +1.0 | -25.5 |
| South 1 | Takaki Asai ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 49% | 4% | 27% | 20% | -6.2 | -13.9 | +23.8 | -3.7 |
| South 2 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 3,000 | 36% | 1% | 49% | 13% | -0.8 | +4.7 | -2.1 | -1.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 18,000 | 36% | 1% | 48% | 14% | -10.3 | +38.4 | -11.9 | -16.2 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 33% | 14% | 42% | 12% | -10.6 | -24.6 | -9.5 | +44.6 |
| South 3 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 3% | 30% | 44% | +47.8 | -6.3 | -27.8 | -13.7 |
| South 4 | Takaki Asai tsumo 16,000 | 85% | 0% | 2% | 13% | -37.7 | -6.8 | +74.9 | -30.3 |