Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/21 Table B Game 1
Asai Takaki finished 1st (+59.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Asai Takaki tsumo 16,000, which moved Asai Takaki's expected points by +74.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Asai Takaki Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asai Takaki tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 23% | 25% | 26% | -14.5 | -5.0 | +24.6 | -5.1 |
| East 2 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 4,000 | 15% | 19% | 43% | 22% | +11.0 | -6.9 | -1.5 | -2.6 |
| East 3 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 2,000 | 23% | 16% | 42% | 19% | +13.4 | -4.4 | -6.1 | -2.9 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 32% | 14% | 37% | 18% | -3.9 | -27.6 | -5.4 | +36.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 26% | 3% | 27% | 44% | +26.4 | +0.6 | +0.3 | -27.3 |
| South 1 | Asai Takaki ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 52% | 4% | 27% | 18% | -8.4 | -14.4 | +23.4 | -0.6 |
| South 2 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 3,000 | 35% | 1% | 48% | 16% | -0.5 | +4.4 | +0.4 | -4.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 18,000 | 36% | 1% | 50% | 13% | -12.1 | +38.5 | -9.5 | -17.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 31% | 13% | 46% | 11% | -9.5 | -23.5 | -13.6 | +46.6 |
| South 3 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 3% | 30% | 45% | +47.9 | -6.7 | -26.6 | -14.6 |
| South 4 | Asai Takaki tsumo 16,000 | 84% | 0% | 2% | 14% | -36.8 | -7.0 | +74.3 | -30.5 |