Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/21 Table B Game 2
Hagiwara Masato finished 1st (+57.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka, which moved Hagiwara Masato's expected points by +42.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 1,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -1.5 | -1.7 | -0.3 | +3.6 |
| East 2 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 2,000 from Suzuki Yu | 23% | 24% | 25% | 29% | +1.5 | -2.1 | -7.1 | +7.7 |
| East 3 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 5,200 | 24% | 21% | 21% | 35% | -3.7 | +15.2 | -10.2 | -1.3 |
| East 4 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 2,000 | 20% | 32% | 13% | 34% | -2.2 | +9.2 | -2.5 | -4.5 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 1,100 | 19% | 41% | 13% | 28% | -4.2 | -0.2 | +2.9 | +1.6 |
| South 2 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 1,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 16% | 40% | 14% | 30% | -3.8 | +3.2 | -3.5 | +4.2 |
| South 3 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 45% | 13% | 31% | +40.9 | -7.0 | -20.6 | -13.4 |
| South 4 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 50% | 30% | 1% | 19% | -16.7 | +42.2 | -3.9 | -21.6 |