Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/21 Table B Game 2
Masato Hagiwara finished 1st (+57.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori, which moved Masato Hagiwara's expected points by +42.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 1,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -2.0 | -3.1 | -0.2 | +5.4 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 2,000 from Yu Suzuki | 22% | 23% | 25% | 30% | +1.1 | -2.1 | -7.2 | +8.2 |
| East 3 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 5,200 | 24% | 21% | 20% | 36% | -4.6 | +17.4 | -9.6 | -3.3 |
| East 4 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 2,000 | 20% | 33% | 14% | 32% | -0.8 | +9.1 | -3.2 | -5.1 |
| South 1 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 1,100 | 19% | 41% | 12% | 28% | -3.4 | -0.8 | +3.5 | +0.8 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 1,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 16% | 41% | 14% | 29% | -5.3 | +4.3 | -3.8 | +4.8 |
| South 3 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 47% | 11% | 31% | +42.1 | -9.5 | -19.8 | -12.8 |
| South 4 | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 52% | 29% | 2% | 18% | -17.7 | +42.9 | -4.4 | -20.9 |