Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/24 Game 1
Ishii Kazuma finished 1st (+52.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 4 honba: Ishii Kazuma ron 3,900 from Takizawa Kazunori, which moved Ishii Kazuma's expected points by +41.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ishii Kazuma 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Nagai Kosuke 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Ishii Kazuma Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Nagai Kosuke Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ishii Kazuma ron 2,000 from Asami Maki | 25% | 26% | 25% | 25% | +7.3 | -3.3 | -1.6 | -2.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,000 from Asami Maki | 30% | 23% | 23% | 25% | -1.1 | -9.2 | +3.0 | +7.3 |
| East 2 | Draw | 30% | 18% | 25% | 27% | -3.7 | +3.8 | +1.6 | -1.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ishii Kazuma ron 2,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 26% | 20% | 26% | 28% | +12.5 | -2.7 | -0.6 | -9.2 |
| East 3 | Ishii Kazuma ron 2,000 from Nagai Kosuke | 37% | 17% | 25% | 21% | +8.4 | -2.1 | -7.4 | +1.1 |
| East 4 | Asami Maki ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 43% | 16% | 19% | 22% | -0.2 | +25.4 | 0.0 | -25.1 |
| South 1 | Asami Maki ron 8,000 from Nagai Kosuke | 43% | 30% | 18% | 9% | -5.4 | +28.5 | -23.7 | +0.7 |
| South 2 | Ishii Kazuma ron 2,600 from Nagai Kosuke | 29% | 60% | 6% | 6% | +12.0 | -3.8 | -9.6 | +1.4 |
| South 3 | Draw | 41% | 52% | 3% | 5% | +5.2 | -6.5 | +3.9 | -2.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nagai Kosuke tsumo 12,000 | 51% | 41% | 4% | 5% | -8.8 | -10.2 | +33.9 | -14.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 45% | 34% | 18% | 3% | -7.8 | +20.6 | -10.9 | -2.0 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 66% | 5% | 3% | -7.4 | -7.4 | -12.9 | +27.6 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Ishii Kazuma ron 3,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 24% | 60% | 4% | 12% | +41.3 | -21.9 | +5.7 | -25.1 |