Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/24 Game 1
Kazuma Ishii finished 1st (+52.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 4 honba: Kazuma Ishii ron 3,900 from Kazunori Takizawa, which moved Kazuma Ishii's expected points by +40.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazuma Ishii 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Kosuke Nagai 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Kazuma Ishii Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Kosuke Nagai Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazuma Ishii ron 2,000 from Maki Asami | 25% | 25% | 26% | 25% | +6.9 | -5.0 | -2.0 | +0.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,000 from Maki Asami | 30% | 21% | 25% | 24% | -1.9 | -5.0 | +2.4 | +4.4 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 19% | 26% | 28% | -1.4 | +2.6 | +1.7 | -2.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kazuma Ishii ron 2,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 28% | 20% | 27% | 25% | +11.6 | -3.2 | -2.3 | -6.0 |
| East 3 | Kazuma Ishii ron 2,000 from Kosuke Nagai | 37% | 18% | 24% | 21% | +8.2 | -2.0 | -7.3 | +1.1 |
| East 4 | Maki Asami ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 45% | 15% | 19% | 21% | +0.9 | +25.4 | -0.2 | -26.1 |
| South 1 | Maki Asami ron 8,000 from Kosuke Nagai | 45% | 30% | 17% | 8% | -3.8 | +27.2 | -24.6 | +1.2 |
| South 2 | Kazuma Ishii ron 2,600 from Kosuke Nagai | 32% | 58% | 5% | 5% | +10.9 | -4.2 | -8.7 | +2.0 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 44% | 49% | 3% | 5% | +4.4 | -4.4 | +3.5 | -3.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kosuke Nagai tsumo 12,000 | 51% | 42% | 4% | 4% | -10.1 | -8.7 | +33.2 | -14.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 44% | 36% | 17% | 3% | -7.2 | +18.7 | -9.0 | -2.4 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 66% | 6% | 3% | -6.2 | -9.6 | -12.8 | +28.6 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Kazuma Ishii ron 3,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 26% | 57% | 5% | 12% | +40.0 | -19.6 | +5.3 | -25.7 |