Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/24 Game 2
Date Arisa finished 1st (+54.3pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Date Arisa ron 8,000 from HIRO Shibata, which moved Date Arisa's expected points by +25.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 25% | +31.0 | -8.5 | -11.7 | -10.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 49% | 17% | 17% | 17% | -3.3 | +3.3 | -3.7 | +3.8 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Date Arisa ron 8,000 from HIRO Shibata | 46% | 20% | 15% | 20% | +0.9 | -3.6 | +25.0 | -22.2 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 46% | 15% | 29% | 9% | +29.2 | -6.1 | -18.2 | -4.9 |
| East 4 | Date Arisa tsumo 8,000 | 77% | 8% | 9% | 5% | -4.0 | -8.0 | +25.0 | -13.0 |
| South 1 | HIRO Shibata ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro | 71% | 5% | 22% | 2% | -26.5 | -4.5 | +8.8 | +22.1 |
| South 2 | Date Arisa tsumo 2,000 | 44% | 7% | 42% | 8% | -0.7 | -6.5 | +7.2 | 0.0 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,000 from HIRO Shibata | 42% | 2% | 50% | 7% | -1.3 | +7.7 | +4.9 | -11.2 |
| South 4 | HIRO Shibata ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro | 34% | 0% | 61% | 5% | -42.2 | -8.5 | +7.2 | +43.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 2,700 | 4% | 1% | 79% | 16% | -22.3 | +15.9 | +9.0 | -2.7 |