Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/25 Game 1
Genta Takeuchi finished 1st (+55.7pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Genta Takeuchi tsumo 12,000, which moved Genta Takeuchi's expected points by +56.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 2,700 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -5.7 | -2.7 | +8.9 | -0.5 |
| East 2 | Genta Takeuchi ron 5,200 from Shingo Hori | 21% | 21% | 33% | 26% | +18.8 | +0.8 | -1.9 | -17.7 |
| East 3 | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata | 34% | 21% | 30% | 15% | +1.2 | -23.9 | -1.5 | +24.2 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 34% | 10% | 27% | 28% | -4.0 | -3.4 | +1.4 | +6.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 3,900 from Naoki Setokuma | 31% | 8% | 28% | 33% | +0.5 | +10.3 | -9.4 | -1.4 |
| South 1 | Naoki Setokuma ron 3,900 from Genta Takeuchi | 33% | 12% | 23% | 33% | -17.4 | -2.2 | +15.8 | +3.8 |
| South 2 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 12% | 34% | 36% | -14.9 | +44.7 | -15.4 | -14.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Genta Takeuchi ron 3,900 from Shingo Hori | 10% | 44% | 22% | 24% | +14.4 | +2.6 | +0.9 | -18.0 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 49% | 21% | 14% | +7.9 | -5.6 | +0.6 | -2.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 6,000 | 23% | 41% | 22% | 15% | -9.8 | -13.4 | +30.6 | -7.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 23% | 54% | 9% | +56.0 | -15.4 | -30.1 | -10.5 |
| South 4 | Aiko Hinata ron 2,600 from Naoki Setokuma | 81% | 6% | 8% | 5% | +8.5 | +16.2 | -16.4 | -8.4 |