Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/25 Game 1
Takeuchi Genta finished 1st (+55.7pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Takeuchi Genta tsumo 12,000, which moved Takeuchi Genta's expected points by +56.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 2,700 | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -2.1 | -2.1 | +4.8 | -0.5 |
| East 2 | Takeuchi Genta ron 5,200 from Hori Shingo | 21% | 24% | 29% | 26% | +17.3 | -3.9 | +3.6 | -17.1 |
| East 3 | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko | 34% | 19% | 31% | 16% | +1.7 | -22.3 | -3.6 | +24.2 |
| East 4 | Draw | 35% | 9% | 27% | 29% | -4.1 | -3.0 | +2.9 | +4.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 3,900 from Setokuma Naoki | 32% | 8% | 29% | 32% | +0.7 | +13.2 | -11.8 | -2.1 |
| South 1 | Setokuma Naoki ron 3,900 from Takeuchi Genta | 34% | 13% | 22% | 31% | -19.3 | -3.1 | +17.7 | +4.7 |
| South 2 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 13% | 35% | 36% | -12.7 | +43.3 | -15.2 | -15.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takeuchi Genta ron 3,900 from Hori Shingo | 11% | 44% | 22% | 23% | +16.1 | +2.3 | -0.1 | -18.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 17% | 49% | 21% | 13% | +5.3 | -7.0 | +2.8 | -1.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 6,000 | 24% | 38% | 24% | 14% | -10.4 | -12.3 | +29.1 | -6.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 22% | 54% | 10% | +56.9 | -15.2 | -30.6 | -11.1 |
| South 4 | Hinata Aiko ron 2,600 from Setokuma Naoki | 81% | 6% | 8% | 5% | +8.3 | +16.9 | -16.2 | -9.0 |