Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/25 Game 2
Kayamori Sayaka finished 1st (+85.0pt). The game was decided in South 2: Kayamori Sayaka ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro, which moved Kayamori Sayaka's expected points by +30.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -13.0 | +21.9 | -4.4 | -4.4 |
| East 2 | Okada Sayaka ron 12,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 14% | 43% | 21% | 22% | +1.3 | +28.3 | -2.4 | -27.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 2,000 | 12% | 67% | 14% | 6% | +4.5 | -4.3 | +0.6 | -0.8 |
| East 3 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 3,900 | 13% | 64% | 15% | 7% | -0.8 | -2.9 | +8.6 | -4.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 13% | 61% | 20% | 6% | -2.2 | +3.1 | -5.5 | +4.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 1,000 from Okada Sayaka | 12% | 66% | 15% | 7% | -1.3 | -2.6 | +9.0 | -5.1 |
| South 1 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 65% | 20% | 4% | -16.1 | +0.2 | -3.2 | +19.1 |
| South 2 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 4% | 68% | 18% | 10% | -24.8 | -7.2 | +30.4 | +1.6 |
| South 3 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 5,800 from Kurosawa Saki | 0% | 52% | 41% | 7% | +2.2 | -9.9 | +19.2 | -11.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 27% | 70% | 2% | -5.9 | -16.6 | +30.3 | -7.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 0% | 1% | 99% | 0% | -0.2 | +2.4 | -1.9 | -0.2 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 2,600 from Kurosawa Saki | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -4.0 | +1.0 | +4.8 | -1.9 |