Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/27 Game 1
Kosuke Nagai finished 1st (+59.0pt). The game was decided in East 3: Kosuke Nagai ron 7,700 from Daisuke Suzuki, which moved Kosuke Nagai's expected points by +27.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kosuke Nagai 1st-place chance | Shota Akutsu 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Kosuke Nagai Expected pt change | Shota Akutsu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yu Suzuki ron 2,600 from Shota Akutsu | 25% | 24% | 24% | 27% | -1.2 | +7.9 | +1.2 | -7.9 |
| East 2 | Shota Akutsu ron 1,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 24% | 30% | 24% | 22% | -2.0 | -0.8 | -0.4 | +3.2 |
| East 3 | Kosuke Nagai ron 7,700 from Daisuke Suzuki | 22% | 30% | 24% | 24% | -20.1 | -2.3 | +27.3 | -4.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 24% | 46% | 20% | -2.9 | -0.7 | +2.4 | +1.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 24% | 47% | 20% | +3.1 | -3.2 | +5.6 | -5.5 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 1,300 from Shota Akutsu | 10% | 20% | 53% | 16% | +10.8 | -1.5 | -0.4 | -8.8 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 19% | 55% | 12% | -3.8 | -3.6 | +5.3 | +2.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Shota Akutsu ron 2,000 from Yu Suzuki | 12% | 16% | 60% | 12% | -0.5 | -7.1 | -0.2 | +7.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 5,200 from Shota Akutsu | 11% | 14% | 59% | 16% | +15.0 | -0.1 | +3.0 | -17.9 |
| South 1 | Yu Suzuki ron 5,200 from Shota Akutsu | 17% | 11% | 64% | 7% | -2.0 | +14.5 | +2.1 | -14.5 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 17% | 67% | 3% | +7.7 | -5.8 | +0.7 | -2.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Shota Akutsu ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki | 17% | 11% | 69% | 3% | +2.1 | -32.3 | +4.9 | +25.3 |
| South 4 | Shota Akutsu tsumo 3,900 | 9% | 0% | 83% | 7% | -6.3 | -5.2 | -1.7 | +13.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Shota Akutsu ron 2,900 from Yu Suzuki | 6% | 1% | 82% | 11% | -4.6 | -5.1 | -2.1 | +11.8 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kosuke Nagai ron 1,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 6% | 0% | 78% | 16% | -12.1 | -1.4 | +13.1 | +0.4 |