Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/27 Game 1
Nagai Kosuke finished 1st (+59.0pt). The game was decided in East 3: Nagai Kosuke ron 7,700 from Suzuki Daisuke, which moved Nagai Kosuke's expected points by +23.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Nagai Kosuke 1st-place chance | Akutsu Shota 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Nagai Kosuke Expected pt change | Akutsu Shota Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Yu ron 2,600 from Akutsu Shota | 26% | 24% | 26% | 24% | -3.0 | +8.9 | -0.4 | -5.4 |
| East 2 | Akutsu Shota ron 1,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 23% | 30% | 25% | 22% | -0.7 | -0.6 | -0.9 | +2.1 |
| East 3 | Nagai Kosuke ron 7,700 from Suzuki Daisuke | 22% | 30% | 25% | 23% | -21.6 | -0.7 | +23.6 | -1.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 11% | 26% | 42% | 21% | -1.2 | -4.6 | +6.1 | -0.4 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 10% | 22% | 49% | 20% | +0.4 | -2.4 | +6.5 | -4.6 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Suzuki Daisuke ron 1,300 from Akutsu Shota | 9% | 21% | 54% | 17% | +12.3 | -0.8 | -1.4 | -10.0 |
| East 4 | Draw | 14% | 19% | 54% | 12% | -3.1 | -2.3 | +2.9 | +2.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Akutsu Shota ron 2,000 from Suzuki Yu | 13% | 17% | 58% | 12% | 0.0 | -6.6 | -0.4 | +7.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Suzuki Daisuke ron 5,200 from Akutsu Shota | 12% | 14% | 58% | 16% | +14.9 | -1.3 | +5.3 | -18.9 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Yu ron 5,200 from Akutsu Shota | 17% | 12% | 65% | 6% | -2.1 | +12.5 | +1.6 | -12.0 |
| South 2 | Draw | 14% | 16% | 67% | 3% | +6.3 | -5.5 | +1.7 | -2.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Akutsu Shota ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu | 16% | 11% | 70% | 3% | +1.7 | -30.8 | +5.1 | +23.9 |
| South 4 | Akutsu Shota tsumo 3,900 | 8% | 1% | 85% | 7% | -6.0 | -5.7 | -3.6 | +15.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Akutsu Shota ron 2,900 from Suzuki Yu | 7% | 1% | 80% | 13% | -4.3 | -5.4 | -0.3 | +10.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Nagai Kosuke ron 1,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 6% | 0% | 79% | 15% | -11.8 | -1.5 | +12.3 | +0.9 |