Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

11/27 Game 2

Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+48.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Exhaustive draw, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +22.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Kotaro Uchikawa● Go Kobayashi● Shota Akutsu● Geki Shimoishi0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Kotaro● Go● Shota● Geki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultGo Kobayashi
1st-place chance
Kotaro Uchikawa
1st-place chance
Shota Akutsu
1st-place chance
Geki Shimoishi
1st-place chance
Go Kobayashi
Expected pt change
Kotaro Uchikawa
Expected pt change
Shota Akutsu
Expected pt change
Geki Shimoishi
Expected pt change
East 1Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Shota Akutsu25%24%25%26%-1.1+20.2-19.9+0.7
East 2Shota Akutsu ron 1,300 from Geki Shimoishi22%40%14%25%+2.90.0+2.7-5.6
East 3Geki Shimoishi ron 3,900 from Shota Akutsu24%39%15%22%-1.8+4.3-14.4+11.8
East 4Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 4,00021%43%8%29%-3.4+15.3-3.0-8.9
South 1Go Kobayashi ron 1,500 from Kotaro Uchikawa16%60%7%18%+6.1-4.1-1.2-0.8
South 1, 1 honbaGeki Shimoishi ron 2,600 from Kotaro Uchikawa21%55%6%19%-2.9-12.2-1.5+16.6
South 2Shota Akutsu tsumo 8,00019%41%6%35%-6.2-8.3+21.1-6.7
South 3Geki Shimoishi ron 2,000 from Shota Akutsu17%36%16%31%-0.7+11.0-17.2+6.9
South 4Exhaustive draw16%51%5%29%-6.7+22.6-6.8-9.0

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)