Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

11/27 Game 2

Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+48.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Draw, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +24.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Uchikawa Kotaro● Kobayashi Go● Akutsu Shota● Shimoishi Geki0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Uchikawa● Kobayashi● Akutsu● Shimoishi
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultKobayashi Go
1st-place chance
Uchikawa Kotaro
1st-place chance
Akutsu Shota
1st-place chance
Shimoishi Geki
1st-place chance
Kobayashi Go
Expected pt change
Uchikawa Kotaro
Expected pt change
Akutsu Shota
Expected pt change
Shimoishi Geki
Expected pt change
East 1Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Akutsu Shota27%25%23%25%-3.5+21.6-18.6+0.5
East 2Akutsu Shota ron 1,300 from Shimoishi Geki21%41%14%23%+2.1-2.8+1.7-1.0
East 3Shimoishi Geki ron 3,900 from Akutsu Shota24%38%14%24%+1.7+3.3-13.3+8.3
East 4Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 4,00023%41%8%28%-5.6+16.5-4.4-6.5
South 1Kobayashi Go ron 1,500 from Uchikawa Kotaro16%60%5%19%+4.2-5.4+1.5-0.3
South 1, 1 honbaShimoishi Geki ron 2,600 from Uchikawa Kotaro20%53%6%21%-1.0-10.2-2.3+13.5
South 2Akutsu Shota tsumo 8,00019%41%6%33%-5.5-9.2+20.6-6.0
South 3Shimoishi Geki ron 2,000 from Akutsu Shota18%36%16%31%-1.2+9.8-16.6+8.0
South 4Draw17%49%4%30%-7.3+24.1-7.3-9.5

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)