Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/27 Table B Game 1
Date Arisa finished 1st (+54.2pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Date Arisa ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken, which moved Date Arisa's expected points by +37.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Date Arisa ron 8,000 from HIRO Shibata | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -2.3 | -21.2 | +0.2 | +23.2 |
| East 2 | Draw | 20% | 13% | 24% | 43% | +0.1 | -4.9 | -1.4 | +6.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | HIRO Shibata ron 3,900 from Sonoda Ken | 21% | 10% | 22% | 48% | -0.8 | +12.9 | -13.6 | +1.5 |
| East 4 | Draw | 20% | 15% | 14% | 51% | +8.5 | -3.1 | -2.5 | -2.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,900 from Date Arisa | 25% | 12% | 13% | 49% | +10.8 | +0.6 | -1.7 | -9.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | HIRO Shibata tsumo 8,000 | 34% | 14% | 12% | 39% | -18.2 | +30.0 | -8.0 | -3.8 |
| South 2 | Draw | 19% | 35% | 10% | 36% | -0.9 | -0.8 | +3.5 | -1.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 21% | 33% | 12% | 34% | +4.1 | -3.5 | +4.3 | -4.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Date Arisa ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 24% | 30% | 15% | 31% | -11.2 | -5.2 | -20.9 | +37.3 |
| South 4 | Draw | 8% | 13% | 1% | 78% | -7.7 | +2.4 | -3.2 | +8.5 |