Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/27 Table B Game 1
Arisa Date finished 1st (+54.2pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Arisa Date ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda, which moved Arisa Date's expected points by +34.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Arisa Date ron 8,000 from HIRO Shibata | 25% | 26% | 24% | 24% | -1.6 | -23.3 | +1.6 | +23.3 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 13% | 24% | 41% | -1.6 | -4.2 | -3.5 | +9.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | HIRO Shibata ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda | 19% | 10% | 20% | 51% | +0.6 | +13.9 | -13.0 | -1.5 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 16% | 14% | 50% | +10.0 | -4.4 | -5.0 | -0.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 2,900 from Arisa Date | 27% | 13% | 10% | 50% | +9.5 | +0.8 | +1.5 | -11.9 |
| South 1, 2 honba | HIRO Shibata tsumo 8,000 | 37% | 14% | 13% | 37% | -18.2 | +31.7 | -8.6 | -4.9 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 36% | 9% | 34% | -1.5 | -1.5 | +3.0 | 0.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 34% | 11% | 34% | +4.0 | -6.9 | +5.1 | -2.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Arisa Date ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 25% | 27% | 15% | 34% | -10.0 | -3.8 | -21.1 | +34.9 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 12% | 1% | 78% | -9.4 | +3.6 | -2.8 | +8.5 |