Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/27 Table B Game 2
Masato Hagiwara finished 1st (+68.2pt). The game was decided in South 3: Masato Hagiwara ron 12,000 from Futoshi Watanabe, which moved Masato Hagiwara's expected points by +45.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazuma Ishii 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Kazuma Ishii Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 2,700 | 26% | 26% | 23% | 25% | -6.7 | +5.7 | +2.3 | -1.3 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 30% | 26% | 23% | +0.2 | -3.5 | -4.2 | +7.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 27% | 23% | 29% | -1.6 | -1.4 | -6.2 | +9.3 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kazuma Ishii ron 1,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 19% | 25% | 19% | 37% | +4.7 | +1.3 | -5.4 | -0.5 |
| South 1 | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Kazuma Ishii | 22% | 27% | 15% | 37% | -27.8 | -2.0 | +27.5 | +2.3 |
| South 2 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 3,900 from Kazuma Ishii | 6% | 24% | 32% | 38% | -11.4 | -2.4 | -3.4 | +17.2 |
| South 3 | Masato Hagiwara ron 12,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 2% | 16% | 24% | 58% | -0.2 | -0.6 | +45.9 | -45.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kazuma Ishii ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 1% | 6% | 85% | 9% | +24.9 | -30.3 | +3.5 | +1.9 |
| South 4 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 1,500 from Kazuma Ishii | 1% | 0% | 93% | 6% | -7.4 | +0.8 | -0.2 | +6.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 0% | 93% | 7% | -5.6 | -4.6 | -5.3 | +15.5 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 0% | 85% | 14% | +6.5 | -17.1 | +15.4 | -4.7 |