Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/27 Table B Game 2
Hagiwara Masato finished 1st (+68.2pt). The game was decided in South 3: Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Watanabe Futoshi, which moved Hagiwara Masato's expected points by +44.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ishii Kazuma 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Ishii Kazuma Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 2,700 | 26% | 23% | 25% | 26% | -6.6 | +8.0 | 0.0 | -1.3 |
| East 2 | Draw | 20% | 31% | 25% | 25% | -3.4 | -3.6 | -4.4 | +11.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 18% | 27% | 22% | 34% | -0.3 | -1.0 | -3.8 | +5.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Ishii Kazuma ron 1,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 19% | 25% | 19% | 38% | +5.6 | 0.0 | -4.8 | -0.8 |
| South 1 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Ishii Kazuma | 22% | 26% | 16% | 36% | -27.2 | -2.1 | +26.2 | +3.1 |
| South 2 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 3,900 from Ishii Kazuma | 7% | 23% | 33% | 37% | -12.0 | -2.3 | -1.4 | +15.7 |
| South 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 2% | 16% | 27% | 55% | -0.1 | +0.8 | +44.4 | -45.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ishii Kazuma ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 1% | 6% | 85% | 8% | +24.9 | -31.2 | +2.3 | +3.9 |
| South 4 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 1,500 from Ishii Kazuma | 1% | 0% | 93% | 7% | -7.2 | +0.8 | -0.2 | +6.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 0% | 92% | 8% | -5.7 | -4.8 | -4.8 | +15.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 0% | 0% | 85% | 14% | +6.4 | -16.7 | +15.2 | -4.9 |