Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/28 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+56.4pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Asai Takaki, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +41.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Asai Takaki Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +1.7 | -2.2 | -2.0 | +2.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 26% | 23% | 23% | 28% | -4.0 | +4.6 | -5.9 | +5.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Asai Takaki ron 5,200 from Shiratori Sho | 23% | 25% | 20% | 32% | -16.6 | -5.5 | +23.8 | -1.7 |
| East 3 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 20% | 38% | 29% | +34.4 | -7.8 | -17.6 | -9.0 |
| East 4 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 5,200 | 36% | 17% | 23% | 24% | +21.4 | -4.6 | -4.9 | -11.9 |
| South 1 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 58% | 11% | 17% | 14% | -20.1 | -9.0 | -10.5 | +39.6 |
| South 2 | Nakada Kana tsumo 6,000 | 33% | 9% | 12% | 46% | -6.3 | +17.4 | -6.0 | -5.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Nakada Kana ron 1,500 from Asai Takaki | 30% | 17% | 12% | 42% | +0.8 | +5.7 | -4.9 | -1.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 3,200 | 30% | 21% | 9% | 40% | +20.4 | -13.0 | -4.3 | -3.1 |
| South 3 | Asai Takaki tsumo 12,000 | 54% | 8% | 6% | 32% | -12.3 | -15.0 | +41.6 | -14.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Asai Takaki | 41% | 6% | 28% | 25% | -4.2 | -0.9 | -36.0 | +41.2 |
| South 4 | Mizuhara Akina ron 5,800 from Asai Takaki | 22% | 3% | 2% | 74% | -3.6 | +4.0 | -14.3 | +13.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Asai Takaki tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 91% | -4.0 | -17.2 | +22.4 | -1.2 |