Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

11/28 Game 2

Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+53.9pt). The game was decided in South 1: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +29.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 3End● Ooi Takaharu● Daigo Hiroshi● Nakabayashi Kei● Tojyo Rio0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Ooi● Daigo● Nakabayashi● Tojyo
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultDaigo Hiroshi
1st-place chance
Nakabayashi Kei
1st-place chance
Tojyo Rio
1st-place chance
Ooi Takaharu
1st-place chance
Daigo Hiroshi
Expected pt change
Nakabayashi Kei
Expected pt change
Tojyo Rio
Expected pt change
Ooi Takaharu
Expected pt change
East 1Daigo Hiroshi ron 2,900 from Ooi Takaharu25%24%25%26%+11.9-1.2-1.3-9.4
East 1, 1 honbaNakabayashi Kei ron 1,000 from Ooi Takaharu33%25%24%19%-2.9+2.6+2.1-1.9
East 2Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 2,00030%26%25%20%+11.0-3.6-6.2-1.2
East 3Nakabayashi Kei ron 3,900 from Tojyo Rio39%22%21%19%+0.1+13.5-12.1-1.5
East 4Daigo Hiroshi ron 1,000 from Nakabayashi Kei40%31%13%16%+5.5-3.4-0.3-1.9
South 1Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,00046%28%13%14%-13.6-9.2-6.7+29.5
South 2Ooi Takaharu ron 2,600 from Tojyo Rio31%22%12%35%+3.3-2.1-9.1+7.8
South 3Tojyo Rio tsumo 3,90034%18%8%41%-4.1-3.9+9.0-0.9
South 3, 1 honbaOoi Takaharu tsumo 4,00031%17%11%41%-5.0-6.1-13.6+24.7
South 4Nakabayashi Kei ron 8,000 from Daigo Hiroshi15%7%1%76%-27.5+24.2-5.2+8.5

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)