Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/28 Game 2
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+53.9pt). The game was decided in South 1: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +29.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 2,900 from Takaharu Ooi | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | +7.8 | +0.1 | +1.0 | -8.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kei Nakabayashi ron 1,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 31% | 24% | 25% | 20% | +1.4 | +3.1 | -1.7 | -2.8 |
| East 2 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 2,000 | 31% | 26% | 22% | 20% | +9.4 | -4.1 | -3.7 | -1.6 |
| East 3 | Kei Nakabayashi ron 3,900 from Rio Tojyo | 39% | 22% | 22% | 17% | +0.9 | +12.0 | -12.1 | -0.8 |
| East 4 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 1,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 40% | 30% | 13% | 17% | +4.3 | -1.5 | +0.3 | -3.0 |
| South 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 46% | 29% | 13% | 13% | -12.0 | -10.2 | -7.7 | +29.8 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,600 from Rio Tojyo | 33% | 23% | 11% | 33% | +1.4 | -3.0 | -11.0 | +12.6 |
| South 3 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 3,900 | 32% | 17% | 6% | 46% | -2.5 | -2.8 | +10.4 | -5.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 4,000 | 32% | 17% | 10% | 40% | -6.4 | -5.9 | -13.0 | +25.4 |
| South 4 | Kei Nakabayashi ron 8,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 14% | 6% | 2% | 78% | -27.0 | +23.9 | -5.0 | +8.1 |