Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/28 Table B Game 1
Maki Asami finished 1st (+71.2pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Maki Asami ron 6,400 from Megumu Aikawa, which moved Maki Asami's expected points by +41.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Megumu Aikawa 1st-place chance | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Megumu Aikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maki Asami ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | +33.8 | -28.6 | -2.0 | -3.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Megumu Aikawa ron 6,400 from Kenji Katsumata | 51% | 9% | 20% | 20% | -1.7 | -12.6 | -1.4 | +15.7 |
| East 2 | Maki Asami tsumo 4,000 | 48% | 6% | 17% | 29% | +10.3 | -7.0 | -2.1 | -1.2 |
| East 3 | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Megumu Aikawa | 60% | 2% | 13% | 25% | +4.6 | +3.1 | -1.9 | -5.8 |
| East 4 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 66% | 3% | 11% | 20% | -0.4 | -13.3 | +17.4 | -3.7 |
| South 1 | Megumu Aikawa tsumo 8,000 | 65% | 1% | 18% | 15% | -12.8 | -2.5 | -6.1 | +21.4 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 5,800 from Maki Asami | 49% | 1% | 17% | 33% | -15.5 | +6.9 | +2.5 | +6.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Maki Asami ron 12,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 33% | 2% | 21% | 45% | +36.7 | -1.7 | -26.4 | -8.7 |
| South 3 | Maki Asami tsumo 2,700 | 78% | 0% | 3% | 19% | +7.4 | -1.3 | -5.3 | -0.8 |
| South 4 | Megumu Aikawa tsumo 12,000 | 88% | 0% | 0% | 12% | -25.6 | -3.9 | -4.2 | +33.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 34% | 0% | 0% | 66% | -7.5 | -1.3 | -0.7 | +9.5 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Maki Asami ron 6,400 from Megumu Aikawa | 17% | 0% | 0% | 83% | +41.0 | -0.4 | +1.6 | -42.2 |