Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

11/28 Table B Game 1

Asami Maki finished 1st (+71.2pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Asami Maki ron 6,400 from Aikawa Megumu, which moved Asami Maki's expected points by +41.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Asami Maki● Katsumata Kenji● Takizawa Kazunori● Aikawa Megumu0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Asami● Katsumata● Takizawa● Aikawa
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultAsami Maki
1st-place chance
Katsumata Kenji
1st-place chance
Takizawa Kazunori
1st-place chance
Aikawa Megumu
1st-place chance
Asami Maki
Expected pt change
Katsumata Kenji
Expected pt change
Takizawa Kazunori
Expected pt change
Aikawa Megumu
Expected pt change
East 1Asami Maki ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji23%24%25%27%+37.5-27.6-5.8-4.1
East 1, 1 honbaAikawa Megumu ron 6,400 from Katsumata Kenji53%9%19%20%-2.1-14.2+0.8+15.5
East 2Asami Maki tsumo 4,00049%5%18%29%+11.9-7.3-3.4-1.2
East 3Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Aikawa Megumu61%2%13%24%+1.2+3.9-1.5-3.6
East 4Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji64%3%11%22%+0.5-14.2+19.5-5.8
South 1Aikawa Megumu tsumo 8,00064%0%20%16%-11.3-2.1-8.3+21.6
South 2Katsumata Kenji ron 5,800 from Asami Maki50%1%16%34%-17.1+7.7+3.3+6.1
South 2, 1 honbaAsami Maki ron 12,000 from Takizawa Kazunori32%2%20%47%+37.5-2.8-26.6-8.1
South 3Asami Maki tsumo 2,70077%0%3%20%+7.7-1.0-5.1-1.6
South 4Aikawa Megumu tsumo 12,00088%0%0%12%-26.3-3.9-4.2+34.5
South 4, 1 honbaDraw32%0%0%68%-7.5-1.3-0.9+9.7
South 4, 2 honbaAsami Maki ron 6,400 from Aikawa Megumu16%0%0%84%+41.7-0.2+1.5-43.0

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)