Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/28 Table B Game 2
Mari Takamiya finished 1st (+69.8pt). The game was decided in East 1: Mari Takamiya tsumo 18,000, which moved Mari Takamiya's expected points by +46.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 18,000 | 24% | 27% | 24% | 25% | +46.8 | -16.6 | -13.8 | -16.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 3,000 | 64% | 12% | 12% | 12% | +6.7 | -1.5 | -3.0 | -2.2 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 70% | 11% | 9% | 10% | -2.8 | +2.6 | -1.9 | +2.1 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,000 from Mari Takamiya | 68% | 12% | 9% | 11% | -1.8 | -5.7 | -2.0 | +9.5 |
| East 3 | Mari Takamiya ron 2,600 from HIRO Shibata | 68% | 8% | 9% | 15% | +9.6 | +1.4 | -7.0 | -4.0 |
| East 4 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 4,000 | 80% | 6% | 5% | 10% | +9.0 | -1.0 | -2.1 | -5.9 |
| South 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,300 from Taro Suzuki | 89% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 0.0 | -5.7 | -1.2 | +6.9 |
| South 2 | Mari Takamiya ron 1,300 from HIRO Shibata | 92% | 3% | 2% | 4% | +3.2 | -2.5 | -4.0 | +3.3 |
| South 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 95% | 0% | 1% | 4% | -1.7 | -1.9 | -13.5 | +17.1 |
| South 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 1,000 from Mari Takamiya | 95% | 0% | 0% | 5% | +0.9 | +5.8 | -3.5 | -3.1 |