Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/28 Table B Game 2
Takamiya Mari finished 1st (+69.8pt). The game was decided in East 1: Takamiya Mari tsumo 18,000, which moved Takamiya Mari's expected points by +45.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 18,000 | 27% | 24% | 22% | 26% | +45.5 | -13.8 | -12.9 | -18.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 3,000 | 63% | 14% | 12% | 11% | +6.3 | -3.0 | -1.3 | -2.0 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Draw | 69% | 10% | 12% | 9% | -3.7 | +4.1 | -3.1 | +2.7 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,000 from Takamiya Mari | 67% | 13% | 10% | 11% | -1.3 | -5.9 | -2.4 | +9.7 |
| East 3 | Takamiya Mari ron 2,600 from HIRO Shibata | 68% | 8% | 8% | 16% | +10.2 | +0.3 | -5.2 | -5.2 |
| East 4 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 4,000 | 79% | 7% | 4% | 9% | +9.3 | -0.9 | -3.8 | -4.6 |
| South 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,300 from Suzuki Taro | 90% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 0.0 | -7.0 | 0.0 | +7.1 |
| South 2 | Takamiya Mari ron 1,300 from HIRO Shibata | 92% | 2% | 2% | 4% | +3.0 | -0.2 | -4.9 | +2.1 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 95% | 0% | 1% | 4% | -2.2 | -3.2 | -12.8 | +18.2 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 1,000 from Takamiya Mari | 94% | 0% | 0% | 6% | +1.3 | +6.1 | -4.0 | -3.4 |