Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/1 Game 1
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+50.6pt). The game was decided in South 3: Shingo Hori ron 12,000 from Aiko Hinata, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +52.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 1,500 | 27% | 24% | 25% | 25% | +2.9 | -1.0 | +0.3 | -2.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 12,000 | 28% | 23% | 25% | 24% | -18.8 | +32.7 | -7.2 | -6.7 |
| East 2 | Shingo Hori ron 3,200 from Genta Takeuchi | 15% | 48% | 19% | 18% | +0.4 | -6.6 | -2.1 | +8.3 |
| East 3 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 42% | 19% | 23% | +24.6 | -3.4 | -14.5 | -6.8 |
| East 4 | Genta Takeuchi ron 1,000 from Shingo Hori | 31% | 39% | 10% | 20% | +4.0 | +3.3 | +1.3 | -8.6 |
| South 1 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000 | 35% | 41% | 11% | 13% | -14.6 | -1.6 | +22.7 | -6.4 |
| South 2 | Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 22% | 42% | 23% | 12% | -29.2 | -2.9 | +31.2 | +0.9 |
| South 3 | Shingo Hori ron 12,000 from Aiko Hinata | 4% | 34% | 51% | 11% | -5.1 | +7.5 | -54.9 | +52.5 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 45% | 3% | 50% | -9.9 | -16.4 | +7.1 | +19.3 |