Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/1 Game 1
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+50.6pt). The game was decided in South 3: Hori Shingo ron 12,000 from Hinata Aiko, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +53.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 1,500 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +4.6 | -0.5 | -2.3 | -1.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 25% | 23% | 25% | -18.6 | +30.3 | -4.6 | -7.1 |
| East 2 | Hori Shingo ron 3,200 from Takeuchi Genta | 14% | 48% | 19% | 19% | +2.0 | -8.0 | -1.9 | +7.9 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 41% | 19% | 25% | +26.2 | -3.8 | -14.1 | -8.3 |
| East 4 | Takeuchi Genta ron 1,000 from Hori Shingo | 34% | 37% | 10% | 19% | -1.3 | +5.1 | +0.9 | -4.8 |
| South 1 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,000 | 32% | 43% | 11% | 14% | -11.8 | -2.7 | +22.5 | -8.0 |
| South 2 | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 23% | 42% | 23% | 13% | -29.1 | -1.5 | +31.5 | -0.9 |
| South 3 | Hori Shingo ron 12,000 from Hinata Aiko | 5% | 35% | 51% | 9% | -5.5 | +6.5 | -54.2 | +53.2 |
| South 4 | Draw | 2% | 44% | 3% | 51% | -9.8 | -15.9 | +6.5 | +19.2 |