Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/1 Game 2
Sayaka Kayamori finished 1st (+61.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Sayaka Kayamori ron 16,000 from Tomohiro Honda, which moved Sayaka Kayamori's expected points by +52.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,100 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | +5.7 | -1.2 | -2.6 | -1.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 29% | 23% | 24% | 24% | -3.4 | -2.8 | -0.8 | +6.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 21% | 23% | 29% | -2.1 | +4.9 | -5.3 | +2.5 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 24% | 20% | 32% | +2.1 | -4.5 | +5.3 | -2.8 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,600 from Shingo Hori | 26% | 21% | 24% | 29% | +20.2 | -12.7 | -5.4 | -2.1 |
| East 4 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 16,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 43% | 13% | 18% | 26% | -8.9 | +1.8 | +52.7 | -45.7 |
| South 1 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 9% | 65% | 3% | -10.9 | -10.9 | +0.8 | +21.0 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 15% | 7% | 70% | 8% | 0.0 | -20.7 | +19.5 | +1.3 |
| South 3 | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 0% | 94% | 3% | -2.9 | +19.7 | -4.1 | -12.6 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 0% | 96% | 3% | +1.4 | -6.3 | -3.7 | +8.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Shingo Hori | 3% | 0% | 91% | 6% | +17.5 | -23.2 | +4.6 | +1.1 |