Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/1 Game 2
Kayamori Sayaka finished 1st (+61.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Kayamori Sayaka ron 16,000 from Honda Tomohiro, which moved Kayamori Sayaka's expected points by +52.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,100 | 25% | 26% | 24% | 26% | +6.4 | -4.0 | +1.1 | -3.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 29% | 22% | 25% | 24% | -3.8 | -1.4 | -2.4 | +7.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 26% | 22% | 23% | 29% | -2.8 | +3.8 | -4.1 | +3.1 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Draw | 23% | 24% | 21% | 32% | +3.8 | -3.7 | +5.5 | -5.6 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,600 from Hori Shingo | 27% | 21% | 25% | 27% | +19.9 | -12.8 | -6.8 | -0.3 |
| East 4 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 16,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 44% | 13% | 17% | 26% | -7.7 | +0.4 | +52.5 | -45.2 |
| South 1 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 8% | 63% | 3% | -11.1 | -9.3 | +1.7 | +18.7 |
| South 2 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 16% | 7% | 70% | 8% | -1.2 | -20.8 | +18.7 | +3.2 |
| South 3 | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 0% | 92% | 4% | -2.0 | +19.4 | -4.0 | -13.5 |
| South 4 | Draw | 2% | 0% | 95% | 3% | +0.7 | -6.8 | -2.3 | +8.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Hori Shingo | 3% | 0% | 92% | 5% | +17.4 | -22.8 | +3.7 | +1.8 |