Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/2 Game 1
HIRO Shibata finished 1st (+55.7pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: HIRO Shibata tsumo 12,000, which moved HIRO Shibata's expected points by +38.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Shimoishi Geki 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Shimoishi Geki Expected pt change | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shimoishi Geki ron 2,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 25% | 25% | 27% | 24% | -6.4 | -1.3 | +4.1 | +3.6 |
| East 2 | HIRO Shibata tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 24% | 29% | 27% | -7.2 | -15.4 | -8.9 | +31.4 |
| East 3 | Draw | 14% | 13% | 20% | 53% | 0.0 | +1.9 | +4.3 | -6.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Shimoishi Geki | 15% | 14% | 24% | 48% | +39.4 | -0.6 | -37.1 | -1.7 |
| East 4 | Draw | 42% | 11% | 5% | 42% | -1.7 | +6.3 | -2.0 | -2.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 2,600 from HIRO Shibata | 40% | 14% | 6% | 40% | +1.6 | +11.9 | -2.6 | -10.9 |
| South 2 | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 4,000 | 44% | 21% | 4% | 30% | +3.0 | -6.7 | +6.0 | -2.4 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 4,000 | 51% | 16% | 6% | 27% | +3.0 | +17.2 | -11.8 | -8.5 |
| South 4 | HIRO Shibata tsumo 3,900 | 57% | 24% | 0% | 18% | -9.7 | -11.9 | -1.7 | +23.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | HIRO Shibata tsumo 12,000 | 41% | 17% | 0% | 42% | -20.4 | -14.4 | -4.2 | +38.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Shimoishi Geki ron 8,000 from HIRO Shibata | 2% | 1% | 0% | 98% | +4.3 | -4.0 | +8.4 | -8.8 |