Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/2 Game 1
HIRO Shibata finished 1st (+55.7pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: HIRO Shibata tsumo 12,000, which moved HIRO Shibata's expected points by +39.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Geki Shimoishi 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Geki Shimoishi Expected pt change | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Geki Shimoishi ron 2,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 26% | 25% | 24% | 24% | -8.6 | +1.8 | +4.7 | +2.1 |
| East 2 | HIRO Shibata tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 26% | 28% | 27% | -8.2 | -18.8 | -6.5 | +33.5 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 12% | 21% | 54% | +2.6 | +1.8 | +2.4 | -6.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Geki Shimoishi | 16% | 14% | 23% | 47% | +39.3 | -0.3 | -36.7 | -2.3 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 42% | 11% | 6% | 41% | -1.0 | +5.9 | -3.3 | -1.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 2,600 from HIRO Shibata | 40% | 14% | 5% | 40% | +0.2 | +12.0 | -1.8 | -10.4 |
| South 2 | Geki Shimoishi tsumo 4,000 | 45% | 21% | 5% | 30% | +3.6 | -8.5 | +6.0 | -1.1 |
| South 3 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 51% | 13% | 6% | 30% | +2.5 | +18.1 | -10.8 | -9.8 |
| South 4 | HIRO Shibata tsumo 3,900 | 57% | 23% | 0% | 19% | -8.5 | -11.3 | -2.1 | +21.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | HIRO Shibata tsumo 12,000 | 43% | 16% | 0% | 41% | -21.8 | -13.7 | -4.1 | +39.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Geki Shimoishi ron 8,000 from HIRO Shibata | 2% | 0% | 0% | 98% | +4.7 | -4.3 | +8.4 | -8.8 |