Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/4 Table B Game 1
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+69.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 16,000, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +39.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 16,000 | 26% | 24% | 26% | 24% | -21.0 | -11.0 | +39.5 | -7.5 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 15% | 57% | 16% | -6.2 | -10.4 | -2.8 | +19.5 |
| East 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 8% | 10% | 55% | 27% | +1.8 | +20.2 | +1.1 | -23.1 |
| East 4 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 8% | 18% | 58% | 15% | -9.5 | +33.9 | -8.9 | -15.4 |
| South 1 | Draw | 4% | 47% | 43% | 6% | +3.7 | -5.1 | +5.6 | -4.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 2,000 | 5% | 40% | 50% | 5% | -6.0 | -0.6 | +1.3 | +5.3 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 39% | 53% | 6% | -8.8 | -11.0 | -1.4 | +21.2 |
| South 3 | Draw | 1% | 28% | 56% | 15% | -4.4 | -0.6 | +2.5 | +2.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 1% | 26% | 58% | 15% | +3.9 | -6.2 | +29.0 | -26.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 1,500 from Takeuchi Genta | 0% | 5% | 93% | 2% | -2.8 | -2.1 | +4.5 | +0.5 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Draw | 0% | 3% | 96% | 1% | +3.1 | +0.5 | -1.1 | -2.6 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 1% | 98% | 1% | +20.9 | -0.1 | -0.5 | -20.3 |