Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/4 Table B Game 1
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+69.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 16,000, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +42.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 16,000 | 26% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -23.2 | -12.3 | +42.8 | -7.3 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 14% | 59% | 16% | -3.6 | -10.8 | -4.3 | +18.7 |
| East 3 | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 9% | 9% | 54% | 28% | -1.5 | +22.2 | +0.3 | -20.9 |
| East 4 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 19% | 56% | 15% | -7.5 | +31.0 | -7.2 | -16.3 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 45% | 44% | 7% | +2.5 | -2.7 | +4.0 | -3.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 2,000 | 5% | 42% | 48% | 5% | -6.7 | -0.1 | +2.0 | +4.8 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 40% | 51% | 7% | -8.4 | -11.9 | -0.1 | +20.5 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 28% | 57% | 15% | -3.5 | -2.6 | +2.8 | +3.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda | 1% | 24% | 60% | 16% | +4.0 | -4.2 | +27.6 | -27.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 1,500 from Genta Takeuchi | 0% | 5% | 93% | 2% | -2.6 | -1.7 | +4.7 | -0.4 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 2% | 96% | 2% | +2.5 | -0.2 | -0.4 | -2.0 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 1% | 98% | 1% | +20.8 | -0.1 | -0.7 | -20.0 |