Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/4 Table B Game 2
Futoshi Watanabe finished 1st (+53.8pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 12,000, which moved Futoshi Watanabe's expected points by +51.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Takaki Asai 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Takaki Asai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 5,200 | 25% | 26% | 23% | 25% | -10.7 | -5.1 | +17.2 | -1.3 |
| East 2 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 5,200 | 17% | 24% | 35% | 24% | +17.4 | -13.9 | -1.0 | -2.5 |
| East 3 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 29% | 14% | 34% | 22% | -4.2 | +25.3 | -13.5 | -7.6 |
| East 4 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 31% | 23% | 18% | -6.7 | -7.5 | +27.6 | -13.5 |
| South 1 | Takaki Asai tsumo 2,000 | 19% | 23% | 49% | 9% | -7.5 | -0.5 | +2.8 | +5.3 |
| South 2 | Sho Shiratori ron 3,900 from Mari Takamiya | 13% | 22% | 53% | 11% | +1.9 | +19.1 | -16.6 | -4.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 41% | 33% | 10% | +51.1 | -26.4 | -12.0 | -12.7 |
| South 3 | Takaki Asai ron 5,200 from Mari Takamiya | 69% | 10% | 17% | 5% | +7.4 | +3.8 | -20.8 | +9.6 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 84% | 6% | 3% | 8% | -1.5 | -2.5 | -4.1 | +8.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 4,000 | 81% | 7% | 2% | 10% | +6.5 | -12.8 | +28.6 | -22.2 |