Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/4 Table B Game 2
Watanabe Futoshi finished 1st (+53.8pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 12,000, which moved Watanabe Futoshi's expected points by +51.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Asai Takaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 5,200 | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | -9.9 | -3.0 | +16.6 | -3.8 |
| East 2 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 5,200 | 18% | 23% | 36% | 23% | +19.9 | -14.0 | -2.0 | -3.8 |
| East 3 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 31% | 15% | 34% | 20% | -7.4 | +25.6 | -11.4 | -6.8 |
| East 4 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 32% | 26% | 17% | -5.9 | -7.0 | +27.0 | -14.1 |
| South 1 | Asai Takaki tsumo 2,000 | 19% | 23% | 50% | 9% | -5.0 | -2.2 | +1.7 | +5.6 |
| South 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Takamiya Mari | 14% | 22% | 53% | 11% | -1.6 | +18.3 | -16.2 | -0.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 39% | 35% | 12% | +51.4 | -25.9 | -11.6 | -13.8 |
| South 3 | Asai Takaki ron 5,200 from Takamiya Mari | 67% | 9% | 18% | 6% | +7.3 | +5.0 | -21.0 | +8.7 |
| South 4 | Draw | 82% | 6% | 3% | 9% | -0.9 | -2.0 | -4.3 | +7.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 4,000 | 81% | 7% | 2% | 10% | +7.1 | -13.3 | +28.2 | -22.0 |