Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/5 Table B Game 1
Kana Nakada finished 1st (+78.7pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Kana Nakada tsumo 18,000, which moved Kana Nakada's expected points by +35.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Shota Akutsu 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Shota Akutsu Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 5,200 from Shota Akutsu | 25% | 24% | 25% | 27% | -1.9 | -14.7 | +14.5 | +2.1 |
| East 2 | Shota Akutsu ron 3,900 from Hiroshi Daigo | 22% | 16% | 36% | 27% | +1.8 | +11.1 | -10.3 | -2.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 22% | 29% | 26% | +0.2 | -3.6 | -1.9 | +5.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Shota Akutsu ron 1,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 25% | 20% | 26% | 29% | -0.3 | +6.0 | -7.8 | +2.0 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 23% | 21% | 32% | -3.8 | +4.7 | -4.4 | +3.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kana Nakada ron 3,900 from Shota Akutsu | 22% | 26% | 18% | 34% | +17.2 | -11.9 | -1.4 | -4.0 |
| South 1 | Kana Nakada ron 7,700 from Shota Akutsu | 35% | 19% | 18% | 29% | +26.2 | -26.0 | +1.8 | -1.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kana Nakada tsumo 18,000 | 60% | 5% | 13% | 22% | +35.8 | -7.0 | -15.2 | -13.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 2,000 | 93% | 1% | 2% | 3% | -2.5 | -6.3 | +10.3 | -1.5 |
| South 2 | Taro Suzuki ron 1,000 from Kana Nakada | 93% | 1% | 3% | 3% | +0.6 | -4.4 | -0.6 | +4.4 |
| South 3 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 96% | 0% | 2% | 3% | -0.6 | -2.9 | -8.4 | +11.9 |
| South 4 | Kana Nakada ron 5,200 from Shota Akutsu | 96% | 0% | 0% | 4% | +6.6 | -5.7 | +0.4 | -1.3 |