Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

12/5 Table B Game 1

Nakada Kana finished 1st (+78.7pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Nakada Kana tsumo 18,000, which moved Nakada Kana's expected points by +35.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 1End● Nakada Kana● Akutsu Shota● Daigo Hiroshi● Suzuki Taro0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Nakada● Akutsu● Daigo● Suzuki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultNakada Kana
1st-place chance
Akutsu Shota
1st-place chance
Daigo Hiroshi
1st-place chance
Suzuki Taro
1st-place chance
Nakada Kana
Expected pt change
Akutsu Shota
Expected pt change
Daigo Hiroshi
Expected pt change
Suzuki Taro
Expected pt change
East 1Daigo Hiroshi ron 5,200 from Akutsu Shota27%23%26%24%-4.3-11.7+14.6+1.4
East 2Akutsu Shota ron 3,900 from Daigo Hiroshi22%17%36%25%+0.4+10.6-11.2+0.2
East 2, 1 honbaDraw24%24%27%25%-1.6-5.1-2.7+9.4
East 3, 2 honbaAkutsu Shota ron 1,000 from Daigo Hiroshi22%19%25%34%+1.1+7.9-7.8-1.2
East 4Draw23%25%20%32%-4.1+5.4-2.7+1.4
East 4, 1 honbaNakada Kana ron 3,900 from Akutsu Shota19%28%19%33%+20.0-18.0-0.7-1.2
South 1Nakada Kana ron 7,700 from Akutsu Shota35%16%18%31%+24.2-21.7-1.0-1.6
South 1, 1 honbaNakada Kana tsumo 18,00058%6%12%24%+35.6-7.9-12.3-15.4
South 1, 2 honbaDaigo Hiroshi tsumo 2,00093%1%2%4%-1.9-5.4+7.9-0.7
South 2Suzuki Taro ron 1,000 from Nakada Kana93%1%2%4%+0.4-4.4-0.9+4.9
South 3Suzuki Taro tsumo 4,00095%0%2%4%+0.3-3.1-7.3+10.1
South 4Nakada Kana ron 5,200 from Akutsu Shota97%0%0%3%+6.1-5.7+0.3-0.7

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)