Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/5 Table B Game 2
Sayaka Kayamori finished 1st (+60.7pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000, which moved Sayaka Kayamori's expected points by +36.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Geki Shimoishi 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Geki Shimoishi Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shingo Hori ron 1,300 from Futoshi Watanabe | 28% | 23% | 25% | 24% | -3.3 | -2.2 | +1.0 | +4.5 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 24% | 26% | 27% | +1.2 | +1.3 | +2.9 | -5.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Geki Shimoishi | 25% | 25% | 28% | 22% | +2.8 | -3.1 | -26.3 | +26.5 |
| East 3 | Geki Shimoishi tsumo 2,100 | 25% | 20% | 11% | 44% | -2.6 | -2.4 | +7.0 | -2.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 18% | 16% | 43% | +36.7 | -8.1 | -19.9 | -8.7 |
| East 4 | Geki Shimoishi tsumo 12,000 | 56% | 11% | 5% | 28% | -3.4 | -7.1 | +29.2 | -18.7 |
| South 1 | Geki Shimoishi ron 3,900 from Sayaka Kayamori | 56% | 11% | 16% | 18% | -11.2 | -5.4 | +14.2 | +2.4 |
| South 2 | Geki Shimoishi tsumo 8,000 | 44% | 8% | 27% | 20% | -7.4 | -14.2 | +29.7 | -8.1 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 28% | 1% | 59% | 12% | +28.5 | +4.8 | -11.5 | -21.9 |
| South 4 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 2,000 from Geki Shimoishi | 67% | 0% | 30% | 3% | +16.8 | +10.2 | -12.2 | -14.8 |