Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/5 Table B Game 2
Kayamori Sayaka finished 1st (+60.7pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000, which moved Kayamori Sayaka's expected points by +38.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Shimoishi Geki 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Shimoishi Geki Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hori Shingo ron 1,300 from Watanabe Futoshi | 25% | 26% | 24% | 26% | -1.5 | -3.3 | +3.1 | +1.6 |
| East 2 | Draw | 24% | 23% | 27% | 26% | +2.1 | +2.2 | -0.8 | -3.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Shimoishi Geki | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | +2.9 | -7.4 | -22.2 | +26.8 |
| East 3 | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 2,100 | 25% | 17% | 13% | 45% | -4.1 | +1.9 | +3.4 | -1.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 19% | 14% | 44% | +38.0 | -10.0 | -17.7 | -10.3 |
| East 4 | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 12,000 | 55% | 10% | 5% | 29% | -3.2 | -9.1 | +29.8 | -17.5 |
| South 1 | Shimoishi Geki ron 3,900 from Kayamori Sayaka | 56% | 8% | 17% | 19% | -11.9 | -2.7 | +13.9 | +0.7 |
| South 2 | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 8,000 | 44% | 8% | 27% | 21% | -8.8 | -14.2 | +31.0 | -8.0 |
| South 3 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 25% | 1% | 62% | 12% | +30.8 | +4.9 | -14.7 | -20.9 |
| South 4 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 2,000 from Shimoishi Geki | 68% | 0% | 28% | 3% | +16.4 | +10.2 | -11.1 | -15.6 |