Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/8 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+89.3pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Mizuhara Akina ron 18,000 from Takizawa Kazunori, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +38.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Ishii Kazuma 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Ishii Kazuma Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +29.0 | -10.1 | -8.5 | -10.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 18,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 46% | 18% | 18% | 18% | +38.8 | +1.5 | -0.8 | -39.5 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 1,100 | 80% | 9% | 10% | 2% | -1.4 | -1.9 | +4.2 | -0.9 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Daisuke ron 12,000 from Ishii Kazuma | 81% | 7% | 10% | 2% | -0.9 | +25.8 | -27.1 | +2.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 8,000 | 78% | 17% | 3% | 2% | -2.8 | -10.7 | +18.7 | -5.2 |
| East 3 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,600 from Suzuki Daisuke | 79% | 12% | 8% | 2% | +4.3 | -2.7 | -3.4 | +1.8 |
| East 4 | Draw | 86% | 9% | 4% | 1% | -3.0 | -1.6 | -1.4 | +6.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000 | 83% | 9% | 5% | 3% | +14.8 | -3.0 | -1.7 | -10.1 |
| South 1 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 6,000 | 95% | 3% | 2% | 1% | +7.2 | -3.2 | -2.1 | -1.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 97% | 1% | 1% | 0% | +1.9 | -1.0 | -0.9 | 0.0 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Ishii Kazuma ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 97% | 2% | 2% | 0% | -0.7 | -3.7 | +17.9 | -13.4 |
| South 2 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 1,500 | 98% | 1% | 1% | 0% | +3.6 | -3.5 | 0.0 | -0.2 |
| South 3 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 5,200 | 99% | 0% | 1% | 0% | -0.7 | -1.8 | -2.6 | +5.0 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 2,700 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -1.0 | +17.3 | -12.8 | -3.5 |