Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/8 Game 1
Akina Mizuhara finished 1st (+89.3pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Akina Mizuhara ron 18,000 from Kazunori Takizawa, which moved Akina Mizuhara's expected points by +38.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kazuma Ishii 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Kazuma Ishii Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 23% | 25% | 26% | +29.5 | -8.2 | -11.4 | -10.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 18,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 48% | 17% | 16% | 18% | +38.2 | +0.2 | +1.6 | -40.0 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 1,100 | 80% | 9% | 9% | 2% | -0.8 | -2.7 | +4.1 | -0.5 |
| East 2 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 12,000 from Kazuma Ishii | 81% | 7% | 9% | 2% | -1.3 | +26.5 | -26.5 | +1.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 8,000 | 78% | 17% | 3% | 2% | -1.5 | -9.9 | +16.7 | -5.3 |
| East 3 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,600 from Daisuke Suzuki | 80% | 11% | 8% | 2% | +1.4 | -3.2 | -1.6 | +3.3 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 83% | 10% | 4% | 2% | -0.6 | -0.8 | -1.6 | +3.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 8,000 | 83% | 10% | 5% | 2% | +14.2 | -3.6 | -2.4 | -8.3 |
| South 1 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 6,000 | 95% | 3% | 2% | 0% | +7.2 | -2.9 | -2.6 | -1.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 97% | 1% | 1% | 0% | +2.1 | -0.5 | -0.2 | -1.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kazuma Ishii ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 98% | 2% | 1% | 0% | -1.1 | -3.2 | +16.8 | -12.5 |
| South 2 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 1,500 | 98% | 1% | 1% | 0% | +3.7 | -5.4 | +1.9 | -0.2 |
| South 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 5,200 | 99% | 0% | 1% | 0% | -0.8 | -0.1 | -4.9 | +5.8 |
| South 4 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 2,700 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -0.7 | +16.1 | -11.4 | -4.0 |