Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/9 Game 1
Asami Maki finished 1st (+80.4pt). The game was decided in East 1, 2 honba: Asami Maki ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro, which moved Asami Maki's expected points by +29.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +11.3 | -5.0 | -2.5 | -3.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Asami Maki ron 1,500 from Takeuchi Genta | 33% | 22% | 23% | 22% | +3.4 | +3.0 | -5.3 | -1.1 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Asami Maki ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 35% | 24% | 20% | 21% | +29.3 | -3.9 | +2.6 | -28.0 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Asami Maki ron 12,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 59% | 17% | 17% | 7% | +23.1 | -25.5 | -1.8 | +4.2 |
| East 1, 4 honba | Asami Maki ron 2,900 from Takeuchi Genta | 80% | 5% | 10% | 6% | +9.6 | +2.0 | -9.4 | -2.2 |
| East 1, 5 honba | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 4,000 | 87% | 4% | 6% | 4% | -4.2 | -6.3 | +11.0 | -0.6 |
| East 2 | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 2,000 | 86% | 3% | 8% | 4% | +0.1 | -3.9 | +5.8 | -2.0 |
| East 3 | Asami Maki ron 1,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 87% | 1% | 8% | 3% | +3.5 | -2.8 | -1.1 | +0.4 |
| East 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 3,900 | 91% | 1% | 6% | 2% | -2.4 | -2.5 | -3.4 | +8.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 89% | 1% | 5% | 4% | +1.4 | +2.9 | -0.3 | -4.0 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Asami Maki tsumo 3,900 | 93% | 1% | 4% | 2% | +5.9 | -1.5 | -2.0 | -2.4 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 96% | 0% | 2% | 1% | -7.4 | +28.6 | -9.4 | -11.7 |
| South 2 | Asami Maki ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 95% | 2% | 2% | 1% | +9.6 | +1.5 | +2.5 | -13.6 |
| South 3 | Takeuchi Genta ron 12,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 99% | 0% | 1% | 0% | -0.9 | -27.2 | +26.7 | +1.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 96% | 0% | 4% | 0% | -1.5 | -2.9 | +2.7 | +1.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 2,000 | 95% | 0% | 5% | 0% | +1.4 | +7.3 | -4.4 | -4.3 |
| South 4 | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 2,700 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -0.8 | +3.1 | +3.9 | -6.1 |