Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/9 Game 1
Maki Asami finished 1st (+80.4pt). The game was decided in East 1, 2 honba: Maki Asami ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto, which moved Maki Asami's expected points by +28.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 26% | 25% | +5.1 | -2.5 | -1.9 | -0.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Maki Asami ron 1,500 from Genta Takeuchi | 28% | 24% | 24% | 25% | +7.4 | +1.4 | -6.6 | -2.2 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Maki Asami ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 33% | 25% | 19% | 23% | +28.7 | -0.5 | +1.0 | -29.1 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Maki Asami ron 12,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 58% | 19% | 15% | 8% | +26.7 | -28.5 | -0.2 | +2.0 |
| East 1, 4 honba | Maki Asami ron 2,900 from Genta Takeuchi | 82% | 4% | 9% | 5% | +5.3 | +2.0 | -8.8 | +1.5 |
| East 1, 5 honba | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 4,000 | 85% | 5% | 6% | 4% | -3.3 | -4.4 | +12.0 | -4.3 |
| East 2 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 2,000 | 85% | 3% | 9% | 3% | +2.2 | -6.8 | +4.2 | +0.4 |
| East 3 | Maki Asami ron 1,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 88% | 1% | 9% | 3% | +2.5 | -1.6 | -1.1 | +0.1 |
| East 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 3,900 | 92% | 1% | 4% | 3% | -2.0 | -2.8 | -3.2 | +8.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 90% | 1% | 5% | 4% | +0.3 | +3.5 | +0.7 | -4.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Maki Asami tsumo 3,900 | 92% | 2% | 4% | 2% | +6.8 | -1.7 | -3.5 | -1.6 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 96% | 1% | 2% | 1% | -7.7 | +27.0 | -8.2 | -11.2 |
| South 2 | Maki Asami ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 94% | 2% | 3% | 1% | +10.4 | +2.3 | +2.4 | -15.0 |
| South 3 | Genta Takeuchi ron 12,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 99% | 0% | 1% | 0% | -0.7 | -28.3 | +26.5 | +2.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 96% | 0% | 3% | 0% | -2.3 | -2.5 | +3.3 | +1.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 2,000 | 95% | 0% | 5% | 0% | +1.5 | +8.0 | -4.5 | -5.0 |
| South 4 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 2,700 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -0.7 | +2.8 | +3.7 | -5.7 |