Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/9 Game 2
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+73.2pt). The game was decided in East 1: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 16,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +42.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Nagai Kosuke 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Nagai Kosuke Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 16,000 | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -26.0 | -8.6 | +42.0 | -7.4 |
| East 2 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 1,300 from Sonoda Ken | 9% | 16% | 59% | 16% | +5.2 | -7.4 | +2.7 | -0.5 |
| East 3 | Draw | 11% | 10% | 63% | 16% | -1.7 | -1.2 | -2.9 | +5.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 16,000 | 10% | 11% | 61% | 18% | -10.6 | +47.5 | -11.3 | -25.6 |
| South 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,500 | 7% | 43% | 45% | 6% | -7.4 | +9.0 | -1.6 | 0.0 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 3,000 | 1% | 55% | 39% | 5% | -1.5 | +6.5 | -3.6 | -1.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 63% | 32% | 5% | +22.5 | -5.9 | -6.4 | -10.2 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 1,500 from Nagai Kosuke | 6% | 63% | 27% | 4% | -0.9 | -1.3 | +4.8 | -2.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 59% | 33% | 3% | -7.4 | -24.2 | +36.8 | -5.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 2,600 from Sonoda Ken | 1% | 11% | 86% | 1% | +5.5 | -6.9 | +3.0 | -1.6 |
| South 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Nagai Kosuke | 1% | 3% | 95% | 1% | -0.8 | +3.0 | +10.8 | -12.9 |