Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/9 Game 2
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+73.2pt). The game was decided in East 1: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 16,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +41.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kosuke Nagai 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Kosuke Nagai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 16,000 | 24% | 24% | 25% | 27% | -19.5 | -10.3 | +41.5 | -11.7 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 1,300 from Ken Sonoda | 11% | 15% | 59% | 15% | +1.4 | -5.7 | +3.0 | +1.3 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 12% | 63% | 15% | -2.0 | -1.7 | -2.4 | +6.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 16,000 | 9% | 10% | 62% | 18% | -10.7 | +48.2 | -13.4 | -24.0 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 1,500 | 6% | 45% | 43% | 6% | -5.9 | +5.9 | +2.2 | -2.2 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 3,000 | 1% | 51% | 43% | 5% | -0.9 | +8.8 | -6.3 | -1.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 63% | 32% | 4% | +21.3 | -5.7 | -6.5 | -9.2 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,500 from Kosuke Nagai | 6% | 64% | 27% | 4% | -0.5 | -1.0 | +3.4 | -1.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 60% | 31% | 3% | -8.0 | -24.4 | +38.4 | -6.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 2,600 from Ken Sonoda | 0% | 13% | 86% | 1% | +5.8 | -7.8 | +3.1 | -1.2 |
| South 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Kosuke Nagai | 0% | 2% | 96% | 1% | -0.6 | +3.3 | +10.4 | -13.2 |