Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

12/9 Game 2

Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+73.2pt). The game was decided in East 1: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 16,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +41.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1South 3End● Takaharu Ooi● Sayaka Kayamori● Ken Sonoda● Kosuke Nagai0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Takaharu● Sayaka● Ken● Kosuke
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultSayaka Kayamori
1st-place chance
Ken Sonoda
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Kosuke Nagai
1st-place chance
Sayaka Kayamori
Expected pt change
Ken Sonoda
Expected pt change
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
Kosuke Nagai
Expected pt change
East 1Takaharu Ooi tsumo 16,00024%24%25%27%-19.5-10.3+41.5-11.7
East 2Sayaka Kayamori ron 1,300 from Ken Sonoda11%15%59%15%+1.4-5.7+3.0+1.3
East 3Exhaustive draw11%12%63%15%-2.0-1.7-2.4+6.1
East 4, 1 honbaKen Sonoda tsumo 16,0009%10%62%18%-10.7+48.2-13.4-24.0
South 1Ken Sonoda tsumo 1,5006%45%43%6%-5.9+5.9+2.2-2.2
South 2Ken Sonoda tsumo 3,0001%51%43%5%-0.9+8.8-6.3-1.6
South 2, 1 honbaSayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,0001%63%32%4%+21.3-5.7-6.5-9.2
South 3Takaharu Ooi ron 1,500 from Kosuke Nagai6%64%27%4%-0.5-1.0+3.4-1.9
South 3, 1 honbaTakaharu Ooi tsumo 12,0006%60%31%3%-8.0-24.4+38.4-6.0
South 3, 2 honbaSayaka Kayamori ron 2,600 from Ken Sonoda0%13%86%1%+5.8-7.8+3.1-1.2
South 4Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Kosuke Nagai0%2%96%1%-0.6+3.3+10.4-13.2

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)