Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/11 Game 1
Futoshi Watanabe finished 1st (+58.8pt). The game was decided in East 1: Futoshi Watanabe ron 12,000 from Aiko Hinata, which moved Futoshi Watanabe's expected points by +28.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 12,000 from Aiko Hinata | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +28.8 | -28.0 | -0.7 | 0.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 46% | 9% | 21% | 23% | -1.8 | -0.3 | -0.2 | +2.2 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 45% | 9% | 22% | 24% | +2.3 | -6.8 | +5.8 | -1.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 8,000 | 48% | 6% | 25% | 21% | +25.7 | -3.5 | -14.2 | -7.9 |
| East 4 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 5,800 from Futoshi Watanabe | 76% | 3% | 9% | 12% | -18.0 | -0.5 | -1.7 | +20.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 2,000 | 55% | 4% | 12% | 29% | +8.0 | -1.8 | +0.5 | -6.7 |
| South 1 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 12,000 | 65% | 4% | 11% | 21% | -12.4 | +28.1 | -10.3 | -5.4 |
| South 2 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,000 from Aiko Hinata | 56% | 13% | 10% | 21% | +11.2 | -11.0 | -1.7 | +1.6 |
| South 3 | Aiko Hinata ron 5,200 from Kazunori Takizawa | 72% | 4% | 7% | 17% | +7.7 | +21.3 | -6.3 | -22.6 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 87% | 4% | 1% | 8% | -3.3 | -4.4 | +2.3 | +5.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 2,000 | 83% | 5% | 3% | 10% | +10.4 | +9.6 | -14.1 | -5.9 |