Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/11 Game 1
Watanabe Futoshi finished 1st (+58.8pt). The game was decided in East 1: Watanabe Futoshi ron 12,000 from Hinata Aiko, which moved Watanabe Futoshi's expected points by +30.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 12,000 from Hinata Aiko | 25% | 25% | 26% | 25% | +30.3 | -29.3 | -0.1 | -0.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 1,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 47% | 9% | 23% | 22% | -4.2 | -0.5 | -0.7 | +5.4 |
| East 2 | Draw | 44% | 9% | 21% | 25% | +2.8 | -5.4 | +4.2 | -1.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 8,000 | 45% | 7% | 25% | 24% | +25.6 | -4.4 | -13.0 | -8.1 |
| East 4 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 5,800 from Watanabe Futoshi | 73% | 3% | 10% | 13% | -17.0 | -0.1 | -1.2 | +18.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 2,000 | 55% | 4% | 12% | 29% | +7.1 | -1.7 | -0.3 | -5.1 |
| South 1 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 12,000 | 65% | 3% | 11% | 21% | -9.4 | +25.3 | -9.6 | -6.3 |
| South 2 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,000 from Hinata Aiko | 59% | 12% | 9% | 20% | +10.0 | -8.0 | -3.2 | +1.2 |
| South 3 | Hinata Aiko ron 5,200 from Takizawa Kazunori | 73% | 4% | 7% | 16% | +6.7 | +21.6 | -6.0 | -22.4 |
| South 4 | Draw | 88% | 5% | 1% | 7% | -2.7 | -6.5 | +2.1 | +7.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 2,000 | 83% | 4% | 2% | 11% | +10.0 | +11.0 | -13.6 | -7.3 |