Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/11 Game 2
Tojyo Rio finished 1st (+68.4pt). The game was decided in East 3: Tojyo Rio ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken, which moved Tojyo Rio's expected points by +23.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tojyo Rio ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 25% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -2.5 | +1.5 | -6.2 | +7.2 |
| East 2 | Draw | 23% | 26% | 21% | 30% | +6.3 | +1.3 | -2.9 | -4.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Date Arisa ron 1,500 from Tojyo Rio | 28% | 26% | 19% | 26% | -0.6 | +5.6 | +0.1 | -5.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 3,900 from Date Arisa | 26% | 31% | 20% | 23% | +0.8 | -13.6 | -4.5 | +17.2 |
| East 3 | Tojyo Rio ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 28% | 19% | 17% | 36% | -0.6 | -0.8 | -21.8 | +23.2 |
| East 4 | Draw | 22% | 15% | 6% | 57% | -3.1 | -2.4 | -0.5 | +5.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 7,800 | 18% | 14% | 5% | 63% | -7.3 | -4.9 | -6.9 | +19.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 9% | 6% | 2% | 83% | +18.9 | -1.5 | -14.3 | -3.1 |
| South 1 | Draw | 16% | 5% | 1% | 78% | +4.2 | -3.6 | +2.1 | -2.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 2,600 from Sonoda Ken | 19% | 5% | 1% | 75% | -5.1 | 0.0 | -4.5 | +9.5 |
| South 2 | Date Arisa tsumo 12,000 | 8% | 4% | 1% | 88% | -11.1 | +24.1 | -5.8 | -7.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 2,000 | 7% | 12% | 1% | 80% | -1.1 | -6.3 | -1.3 | +8.7 |
| South 3 | Date Arisa ron 1,300 from Sonoda Ken | 4% | 3% | 0% | 93% | -3.0 | +4.0 | -2.7 | +1.7 |
| South 4 | Draw | 1% | 1% | 0% | 98% | +6.5 | -6.0 | -1.6 | +1.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 4,000 | 1% | 1% | 0% | 98% | +6.2 | -9.2 | +5.9 | -2.9 |