Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/11 Table B Game 1
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+58.9pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +32.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ishii Kazuma 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Ishii Kazuma Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 3,900 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +11.4 | -2.8 | -3.7 | -4.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 34% | 22% | 22% | 22% | -17.0 | +32.2 | -8.0 | -7.2 |
| East 2 | Ishii Kazuma ron 1,300 from Kurosawa Saki | 20% | 46% | 17% | 17% | +2.0 | -3.3 | +1.1 | +0.2 |
| East 3 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 6,000 | 19% | 46% | 18% | 17% | -4.6 | -6.9 | +16.1 | -4.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go | 17% | 38% | 27% | 17% | -0.2 | +0.4 | +9.4 | -9.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 38% | 35% | 11% | -5.8 | +24.2 | -13.0 | -5.5 |
| East 4 | Draw | 12% | 62% | 19% | 7% | -1.6 | +4.2 | -3.5 | +0.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 10% | 67% | 15% | 8% | +2.8 | -2.3 | -2.1 | +1.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 4,000 | 11% | 65% | 16% | 8% | -8.5 | -3.0 | +22.6 | -11.1 |
| South 1 | Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 7% | 60% | 31% | 3% | -3.5 | -5.0 | +22.6 | -14.2 |
| South 2 | Draw | 2% | 46% | 52% | 1% | +4.2 | -2.1 | +0.1 | -2.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 2% | 44% | 53% | 1% | -2.7 | +8.2 | -7.4 | +2.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 2,000 | 1% | 60% | 39% | 1% | +6.5 | +15.8 | -16.8 | -5.5 |