Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

12/11 Table B Game 2

Shingo Hori finished 1st (+54.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +51.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 3End● Shingo Hori● Masato Hagiwara● Yu Suzuki● Tomohiro Miura0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Shingo● Masato● Yu● Tomohiro
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultMasato Hagiwara
1st-place chance
Shingo Hori
1st-place chance
Yu Suzuki
1st-place chance
Tomohiro Miura
1st-place chance
Masato Hagiwara
Expected pt change
Shingo Hori
Expected pt change
Yu Suzuki
Expected pt change
Tomohiro Miura
Expected pt change
East 1Exhaustive draw25%25%26%24%+5.0-2.3-4.5+1.9
East 1, 1 honbaExhaustive draw27%25%22%26%-5.4+3.3+2.9-0.9
East 2, 2 honbaTomohiro Miura tsumo 1,10024%26%24%25%-0.6-7.1-3.8+11.5
East 3Tomohiro Miura ron 12,000 from Yu Suzuki23%19%23%34%-1.8+0.8-31.9+32.9
East 4Shingo Hori tsumo 8,00016%15%5%64%-6.3+21.7-5.0-10.4
South 1Shingo Hori ron 3,900 from Yu Suzuki13%30%4%53%-2.8+10.9-8.10.0
South 2Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Shingo Hori9%40%2%49%-3.5-15.3+9.5+9.3
South 3Yu Suzuki tsumo 6,0007%21%4%68%-5.7-2.4+12.2-4.1
South 3, 1 honbaTomohiro Miura tsumo 1,1006%23%7%64%-0.9-5.6-7.8+14.3
South 4Shingo Hori tsumo 8,0003%7%1%90%-0.9+51.1-9.5-40.8

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)