Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/11 Table B Game 2
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+54.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +50.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Miura Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Miura Tomohiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 27% | 25% | 25% | 23% | +2.6 | -2.5 | -4.4 | +4.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 29% | 23% | 21% | 27% | -5.5 | +1.7 | +3.0 | +0.8 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Miura Tomohiro tsumo 1,100 | 23% | 24% | 24% | 28% | -1.4 | -7.3 | -1.2 | +9.9 |
| East 3 | Miura Tomohiro ron 12,000 from Suzuki Yu | 23% | 18% | 23% | 35% | +0.4 | +1.2 | -32.5 | +31.0 |
| East 4 | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 15% | 5% | 63% | -7.8 | +23.6 | -5.7 | -10.1 |
| South 1 | Hori Shingo ron 3,900 from Suzuki Yu | 13% | 31% | 4% | 52% | -3.7 | +9.7 | -6.7 | +0.7 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Hori Shingo | 8% | 39% | 2% | 51% | -1.4 | -15.1 | +8.4 | +8.1 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 6,000 | 6% | 22% | 5% | 67% | -6.6 | -4.2 | +13.3 | -2.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Miura Tomohiro tsumo 1,100 | 6% | 20% | 9% | 65% | -1.6 | -3.1 | -9.0 | +13.7 |
| South 4 | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 7% | 1% | 90% | -0.4 | +50.9 | -9.6 | -40.8 |