Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/12 Game 1
Namba Shibukawa finished 1st (+60.5pt). The game was decided in East 2: Namba Shibukawa tsumo 9,600, which moved Namba Shibukawa's expected points by +25.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 24% | 27% | +5.2 | -1.7 | -1.3 | -2.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 12,000 | 28% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -18.9 | -7.6 | +37.5 | -11.0 |
| East 2 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 9,600 | 13% | 17% | 53% | 16% | -8.4 | +25.9 | -8.4 | -9.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Namba Shibukawa ron 5,800 from Naoki Setokuma | 11% | 34% | 43% | 12% | -1.5 | +14.0 | -15.8 | +3.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 5,200 from Naoki Setokuma | 10% | 48% | 28% | 14% | +0.5 | +2.1 | -16.3 | +13.7 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 52% | 17% | 21% | -1.2 | -3.7 | +9.8 | -4.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 47% | 25% | 18% | -6.9 | +24.8 | -14.8 | -3.2 |
| East 4 | HIRO Shibata ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 4% | 76% | 9% | 11% | +21.1 | +1.5 | -18.7 | -3.9 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 79% | 5% | 7% | +6.0 | -1.2 | -2.1 | -2.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 76% | 4% | 7% | -20.6 | -6.7 | -8.6 | +35.8 |
| South 2 | HIRO Shibata ron 2,600 from Naoki Setokuma | 4% | 68% | 3% | 26% | +5.8 | +1.1 | -6.9 | 0.0 |
| South 3 | Namba Shibukawa ron 2,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 2% | 73% | 2% | 22% | -0.1 | +8.0 | -6.9 | -1.0 |
| South 4 | HIRO Shibata tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 86% | 0% | 14% | +6.0 | +4.2 | -1.7 | -8.5 |