Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/12 Game 2
Date Arisa finished 1st (+80.9pt). The game was decided in East 3: Date Arisa ron 12,000 from Akutsu Shota, which moved Date Arisa's expected points by +33.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Miura Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Akutsu Shota 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Miura Tomohiro Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Akutsu Shota Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Date Arisa tsumo 4,000 | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -5.2 | -2.6 | +12.8 | -5.1 |
| East 2 | Miura Tomohiro tsumo 18,000 | 21% | 22% | 34% | 23% | -16.0 | +47.4 | -14.7 | -16.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 1,000 from Miura Tomohiro | 9% | 62% | 19% | 10% | +2.7 | -0.9 | -1.5 | -0.3 |
| East 3 | Date Arisa ron 12,000 from Akutsu Shota | 9% | 63% | 18% | 10% | +0.1 | -7.7 | +33.7 | -26.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 3,000 | 9% | 47% | 42% | 3% | -3.6 | -2.6 | +7.3 | -1.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Date Arisa ron 5,800 from Honda Tomohiro | 6% | 42% | 49% | 3% | -10.7 | -3.8 | +14.3 | +0.3 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Date Arisa ron 12,000 from Akutsu Shota | 3% | 33% | 62% | 2% | +1.7 | -5.9 | +22.4 | -18.3 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Draw | 2% | 16% | 82% | 0% | +1.5 | -1.8 | +1.2 | -0.9 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Akutsu Shota ron 1,300 from Miura Tomohiro | 1% | 15% | 83% | 1% | -0.6 | -5.4 | +2.6 | +3.3 |
| East 4 | Miura Tomohiro ron 1,000 from Date Arisa | 1% | 9% | 89% | 0% | +0.4 | +4.8 | -2.8 | -2.4 |
| South 1 | Akutsu Shota ron 2,600 from Miura Tomohiro | 1% | 11% | 87% | 0% | -2.2 | -4.0 | +2.8 | +3.4 |
| South 2 | Draw | 0% | 7% | 93% | 0% | +2.8 | -3.8 | +1.0 | -0.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Date Arisa ron 1,500 from Miura Tomohiro | 0% | 2% | 98% | 0% | -0.1 | -2.9 | +2.4 | +0.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 0% | 1% | 99% | 0% | +1.4 | -0.4 | -1.3 | +0.3 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,000 from Akutsu Shota | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +6.7 | +0.9 | +0.1 | -7.8 |