Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

12/12 Table B Game 1

Geki Shimoishi finished 1st (+55.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Geki Shimoishi ron 12,000 from Akina Mizuhara, which moved Geki Shimoishi's expected points by +60.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Geki Shimoishi● Genta Takeuchi● Kenji Katsumata● Akina Mizuhara0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Geki● Genta● Kenji● Akina
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultGeki Shimoishi
1st-place chance
Genta Takeuchi
1st-place chance
Kenji Katsumata
1st-place chance
Akina Mizuhara
1st-place chance
Geki Shimoishi
Expected pt change
Genta Takeuchi
Expected pt change
Kenji Katsumata
Expected pt change
Akina Mizuhara
Expected pt change
East 1Genta Takeuchi ron 1,000 from Kenji Katsumata27%24%24%25%-2.2+2.8-1.4+0.9
East 2Kenji Katsumata tsumo 2,70025%26%24%25%+0.2-5.0+9.7-4.9
East 3Exhaustive draw24%22%32%22%+0.4+7.2-6.5-1.0
East 4, 1 honbaGenta Takeuchi ron 2,000 from Akina Mizuhara25%27%25%23%-0.6+12.3+0.4-12.1
South 1Exhaustive draw23%37%26%14%+4.7+2.6-3.3-4.0
South 1, 1 honbaAkina Mizuhara tsumo 16,00027%39%22%12%-29.4-19.3-13.2+62.0
South 2Kenji Katsumata tsumo 5,2006%17%12%66%-7.4-9.8+15.6+1.6
South 3Geki Shimoishi tsumo 8,0003%10%18%69%+29.1-11.7-19.8+2.5
South 4Geki Shimoishi ron 12,000 from Akina Mizuhara10%7%5%78%+60.1+3.5+20.3-83.9

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)