Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

12/12 Table B Game 1

Shimoishi Geki finished 1st (+55.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Shimoishi Geki ron 12,000 from Mizuhara Akina, which moved Shimoishi Geki's expected points by +60.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Shimoishi Geki● Takeuchi Genta● Katsumata Kenji● Mizuhara Akina0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Shimoishi● Takeuchi● Katsumata● Mizuhara
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultShimoishi Geki
1st-place chance
Takeuchi Genta
1st-place chance
Katsumata Kenji
1st-place chance
Mizuhara Akina
1st-place chance
Shimoishi Geki
Expected pt change
Takeuchi Genta
Expected pt change
Katsumata Kenji
Expected pt change
Mizuhara Akina
Expected pt change
East 1Takeuchi Genta ron 1,000 from Katsumata Kenji26%25%25%24%-1.2+1.5-3.4+3.1
East 2Katsumata Kenji tsumo 2,70024%26%23%27%-0.6-3.8+9.8-5.4
East 3Draw25%23%29%24%+1.3+6.5-3.5-4.3
East 4, 1 honbaTakeuchi Genta ron 2,000 from Mizuhara Akina24%28%26%21%-0.7+8.8+0.8-8.9
South 1Draw24%34%26%16%+3.3+3.3-4.0-2.6
South 1, 1 honbaMizuhara Akina tsumo 16,00026%37%23%14%-29.9-13.8-15.0+58.7
South 2Katsumata Kenji tsumo 5,2006%21%10%64%-6.8-13.0+17.1+2.7
South 3Shimoishi Geki tsumo 8,0003%10%16%71%+29.4-11.1-20.7+2.4
South 4Shimoishi Geki ron 12,000 from Mizuhara Akina9%7%6%79%+60.0+2.9+21.3-84.2

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)