Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/15 Game 1
Hiroshi Daigo finished 1st (+57.2pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 12,000, which moved Hiroshi Daigo's expected points by +33.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aki Nikaido ron 2,900 from Sho Shiratori | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +9.1 | +1.9 | -3.9 | -7.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Maki Asami tsumo 4,000 | 30% | 25% | 23% | 21% | -5.7 | +11.2 | -2.7 | -2.9 |
| East 2 | Maki Asami ron 7,700 from Sho Shiratori | 26% | 33% | 21% | 19% | -0.2 | +19.4 | -0.2 | -19.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 49% | 19% | 9% | -9.1 | -18.7 | +33.1 | -5.3 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 30% | 45% | 8% | +10.2 | -2.9 | -2.3 | -5.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 2,000 from Aki Nikaido | 24% | 28% | 42% | 6% | -9.9 | +1.4 | +0.5 | +8.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Maki Asami ron 2,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 17% | 30% | 44% | 9% | -0.1 | +9.4 | -6.9 | -2.4 |
| South 1 | Aki Nikaido ron 12,000 from Maki Asami | 17% | 39% | 37% | 7% | +36.1 | -33.9 | -0.2 | -1.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 48% | 12% | 35% | 5% | -6.4 | -2.5 | +24.9 | -16.0 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 31% | 7% | 60% | 2% | +5.1 | +1.4 | -5.5 | -1.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 2,000 from Maki Asami | 39% | 8% | 52% | 2% | -1.1 | -8.5 | +11.1 | -1.6 |
| South 3 | Maki Asami tsumo 4,000 | 32% | 1% | 66% | 1% | -4.6 | +5.8 | +1.0 | -2.2 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 6,000 | 23% | 1% | 76% | 0% | -3.2 | -3.6 | -2.7 | +9.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 1% | 74% | 2% | -8.7 | -17.0 | -5.7 | +31.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 2,000 from Maki Asami | 18% | 1% | 72% | 10% | -2.8 | -8.2 | +15.7 | -4.7 |