Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/15 Game 2
Daigo Hiroshi finished 1st (+59.7pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 12,000, which moved Daigo Hiroshi's expected points by +55.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 23% | 25% | 25% | -13.5 | -2.9 | +21.7 | -5.2 |
| East 2 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 6,000 | 16% | 21% | 42% | 21% | -5.1 | +16.3 | -4.8 | -6.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 13% | 32% | 37% | 17% | -1.3 | -5.3 | -2.4 | +9.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 5,200 from Katsumata Kenji | 14% | 28% | 35% | 24% | +21.6 | -1.4 | -19.1 | -1.2 |
| East 4 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 4,000 | 28% | 28% | 21% | 23% | -3.0 | +13.7 | -1.5 | -9.1 |
| South 1 | Ooi Takaharu ron 5,800 from Daigo Hiroshi | 24% | 40% | 21% | 16% | +22.1 | -23.3 | -1.0 | +2.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 5,800 from Sonoda Ken | 43% | 19% | 19% | 18% | +20.8 | +0.9 | -1.6 | -20.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 65% | 16% | 13% | 6% | +22.7 | -1.4 | +0.6 | -21.9 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Draw | 86% | 7% | 7% | 1% | -2.2 | +2.4 | +1.9 | -2.2 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 85% | 7% | 6% | 1% | -23.7 | -2.3 | -0.4 | +26.4 |
| South 3 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 2,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 67% | 10% | 15% | 8% | +6.5 | +12.1 | -13.8 | -4.7 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 7,700 from Katsumata Kenji | 79% | 12% | 3% | 6% | 0.0 | -0.6 | -25.1 | +25.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,500 | 78% | 11% | 0% | 10% | -1.7 | -2.4 | -1.4 | +5.6 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 12,000 | 75% | 11% | 0% | 14% | -32.6 | +55.7 | -4.3 | -18.8 |