Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/15 Game 2
Hiroshi Daigo finished 1st (+59.7pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 12,000, which moved Hiroshi Daigo's expected points by +55.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -12.9 | -5.9 | +22.5 | -3.6 |
| East 2 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 6,000 | 17% | 20% | 42% | 21% | -5.3 | +16.9 | -6.8 | -4.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 32% | 35% | 19% | -0.8 | -4.5 | 0.0 | +5.4 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 5,200 from Kenji Katsumata | 14% | 28% | 36% | 22% | +22.9 | -2.0 | -19.2 | -1.7 |
| East 4 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 4,000 | 30% | 27% | 21% | 22% | -7.9 | +17.5 | -3.4 | -6.1 |
| South 1 | Takaharu Ooi ron 5,800 from Hiroshi Daigo | 21% | 43% | 19% | 17% | +26.4 | -25.8 | 0.0 | -0.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 5,800 from Ken Sonoda | 45% | 20% | 18% | 17% | +17.6 | +0.7 | +0.4 | -18.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda | 63% | 16% | 15% | 7% | +24.4 | -0.7 | -1.2 | -22.5 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 85% | 8% | 6% | 1% | -1.3 | +0.5 | +3.3 | -2.5 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 86% | 7% | 7% | 1% | -23.0 | -1.1 | -1.2 | +25.2 |
| South 3 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 2,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 68% | 11% | 14% | 7% | +6.7 | +11.1 | -14.7 | -3.1 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 7,700 from Kenji Katsumata | 82% | 10% | 3% | 5% | -2.0 | +0.7 | -24.8 | +26.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 1,500 | 77% | 12% | 0% | 11% | -1.6 | -2.9 | -1.4 | +6.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 12,000 | 75% | 11% | 0% | 14% | -32.2 | +55.6 | -4.1 | -19.3 |