Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/18 Game 1
Akutsu Shota finished 1st (+63.9pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Akutsu Shota ron 12,000 from Hinata Aiko, which moved Akutsu Shota's expected points by +37.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Ishii Kazuma 1st-place chance | Akutsu Shota 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change | Ishii Kazuma Expected pt change | Akutsu Shota Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 23% | 27% | 25% | -11.6 | +25.2 | -9.2 | -4.4 |
| East 2 | Draw | 18% | 42% | 18% | 22% | -3.5 | -1.1 | +5.5 | -0.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Akutsu Shota ron 12,000 from Hinata Aiko | 15% | 42% | 23% | 21% | -31.4 | -1.7 | -4.0 | +37.0 |
| East 4 | Draw | 3% | 34% | 15% | 47% | -0.9 | -4.3 | +3.0 | +2.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Akutsu Shota tsumo 6,000 | 4% | 31% | 16% | 49% | -4.1 | -7.7 | -6.7 | +18.5 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 2,000 | 2% | 18% | 10% | 70% | +6.2 | -4.2 | -1.2 | -0.8 |
| South 1 | Akutsu Shota tsumo 2,000 | 3% | 16% | 9% | 72% | -6.9 | -0.2 | -0.1 | +7.2 |
| South 2 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 11% | 7% | 83% | +15.0 | -11.0 | -6.1 | +2.1 |
| South 3 | Hinata Aiko ron 3,200 from Ishii Kazuma | 1% | 3% | 6% | 91% | +9.0 | +3.0 | -15.7 | +3.7 |
| South 4 | Hinata Aiko ron 5,200 from Ishii Kazuma | 0% | 1% | 0% | 99% | +9.2 | +7.9 | -16.3 | -0.8 |