Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

12/18 Table B Game 1

Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+58.0pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Nakada Kana, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +28.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Uchikawa Kotaro● Kurosawa Saki● Nakada Kana● Date Arisa0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Uchikawa● Kurosawa● Nakada● Date
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultKurosawa Saki
1st-place chance
Nakada Kana
1st-place chance
Uchikawa Kotaro
1st-place chance
Date Arisa
1st-place chance
Kurosawa Saki
Expected pt change
Nakada Kana
Expected pt change
Uchikawa Kotaro
Expected pt change
Date Arisa
Expected pt change
East 1Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 2,70026%25%24%26%-6.2-1.6+9.0-1.3
East 2Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,00021%23%31%25%-3.0-13.0+22.2-6.2
East 3Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,00018%13%50%19%+21.9-4.7-13.9-3.3
East 4Kurosawa Saki ron 2,600 from Date Arisa33%12%36%19%+8.8+1.4+1.7-11.9
South 1Draw41%11%37%11%-9.30.0+7.6+1.7
South 2, 1 honbaUchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Nakada Kana31%11%46%11%-4.1-26.9+28.6+2.4
South 3Kurosawa Saki tsumo 4,00012%0%82%6%+10.5-3.4-5.9-1.2
South 4Nakada Kana tsumo 8,00019%0%76%5%-8.2+26.6+9.1-27.5

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)