Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

12/18 Table B Game 1

Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+58.0pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Kana Nakada, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +27.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Kotaro Uchikawa● Saki Kurosawa● Kana Nakada● Arisa Date0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Kotaro● Saki● Kana● Arisa
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultSaki Kurosawa
1st-place chance
Kana Nakada
1st-place chance
Kotaro Uchikawa
1st-place chance
Arisa Date
1st-place chance
Saki Kurosawa
Expected pt change
Kana Nakada
Expected pt change
Kotaro Uchikawa
Expected pt change
Arisa Date
Expected pt change
East 1Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 2,70026%24%24%25%-4.8+0.2+5.8-1.3
East 2Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,00023%25%28%25%-7.4-14.4+25.7-4.0
East 3Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,00016%14%50%20%+24.4-4.5-11.8-8.0
East 4Saki Kurosawa ron 2,600 from Arisa Date33%13%38%16%+8.4-0.3+0.1-8.2
South 1Exhaustive draw41%12%36%11%-9.8+0.2+8.2+1.4
South 2, 1 honbaKotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Kana Nakada31%11%47%11%-3.2-26.1+27.6+1.6
South 3Saki Kurosawa tsumo 4,00012%1%81%6%+8.9-3.4-4.3-1.2
South 4Kana Nakada tsumo 8,00017%0%78%5%-6.9+26.3+7.8-27.2

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)