Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/18 Table B Game 2
Hagiwara Masato finished 1st (+64.4pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro, which moved Hagiwara Masato's expected points by +30.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 3,900 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +10.0 | -2.8 | -3.0 | -4.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 7,800 | 32% | 22% | 23% | 22% | +19.8 | -6.8 | -6.2 | -6.8 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 47% | 18% | 18% | 17% | -0.2 | +7.5 | -9.1 | +1.8 |
| East 2 | Tojyo Rio ron 2,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 49% | 20% | 14% | 17% | +6.8 | -1.4 | -0.6 | -4.8 |
| East 3 | Draw | 55% | 17% | 13% | 15% | -3.0 | -3.3 | +5.6 | +0.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 53% | 17% | 16% | 15% | -2.9 | -0.4 | +30.6 | -27.4 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,600 from Sasaki Hisato | 46% | 15% | 33% | 6% | +3.1 | -4.2 | -1.3 | +2.4 |
| East 4 | Draw | 52% | 12% | 30% | 6% | +1.0 | -6.1 | +0.8 | +4.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 53% | 10% | 30% | 7% | -6.8 | -1.9 | +29.0 | -20.3 |
| South 1 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 4,800 | 34% | 5% | 59% | 1% | +12.9 | -3.2 | -7.8 | -1.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 50% | 4% | 46% | 0% | -18.2 | +25.7 | -2.0 | -5.5 |
| South 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 33% | 16% | 50% | 1% | -4.8 | -8.4 | +22.2 | -8.9 |
| South 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 1,500 from Tojyo Rio | 17% | 4% | 79% | 0% | -4.4 | 0.0 | +5.4 | -1.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 2,000 | 11% | 3% | 86% | 0% | +4.1 | -3.7 | +0.2 | -0.6 |
| South 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 5,800 from Tojyo Rio | 8% | 1% | 91% | 0% | -13.7 | +3.6 | +2.4 | +7.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 1% | 97% | 0% | -5.2 | -5.0 | -4.5 | +14.8 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 7,700 from Tojyo Rio | 2% | 1% | 96% | 1% | -22.2 | +7.5 | -0.4 | +15.1 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 0% | 1% | 95% | 4% | -5.7 | -0.6 | -6.7 | +13.0 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 3,900 from Tojyo Rio | 0% | 3% | 90% | 6% | -18.6 | +8.4 | +9.7 | +0.4 |