Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

12/19 Game 1

Daisuke Suzuki finished 1st (+67.9pt). The game was decided in East 3: Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 8,000, which moved Daisuke Suzuki's expected points by +28.8.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Daisuke Suzuki● Maki Asami● Hiroshi Daigo● Kosuke Nagai0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Daisuke● Maki● Hiroshi● Kosuke
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultDaisuke Suzuki
1st-place chance
Maki Asami
1st-place chance
Hiroshi Daigo
1st-place chance
Kosuke Nagai
1st-place chance
Daisuke Suzuki
Expected pt change
Maki Asami
Expected pt change
Hiroshi Daigo
Expected pt change
Kosuke Nagai
Expected pt change
East 1Maki Asami ron 2,000 from Daisuke Suzuki27%24%25%25%-6.6+3.3-0.1+3.4
East 2Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 8,00021%26%25%28%+22.7-9.1-5.2-8.4
East 3Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 8,00038%20%21%22%+28.8-6.4-16.4-6.1
East 4Kosuke Nagai ron 12,000 from Hiroshi Daigo67%11%8%13%-9.4+0.8-27.1+35.8
East 4, 1 honbaDaisuke Suzuki tsumo 8,00052%10%2%36%+24.9-4.4-3.1-17.4
South 1Exhaustive draw81%5%1%13%-1.4+3.8-1.8-0.6
South 2, 1 honbaHiroshi Daigo tsumo 12,00082%5%1%12%-0.2-19.8+25.6-5.6
South 3Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 2,70088%0%3%8%+5.60.0-9.1+3.5
South 4Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Maki Asami94%0%0%6%+2.4-21.2+19.3-0.4

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)