Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/19 Game 2
Kayamori Sayaka finished 1st (+89.8pt). The game was decided in South 2: Kayamori Sayaka ron 18,000 from Suzuki Taro, which moved Kayamori Sayaka's expected points by +43.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 26% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -4.3 | -4.7 | +37.1 | -28.1 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 1,100 | 18% | 19% | 55% | 9% | +0.5 | -1.6 | +3.1 | -1.9 |
| East 3 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 12,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 18% | 16% | 58% | 8% | -1.9 | +28.8 | -3.9 | -23.0 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 13% | 35% | 49% | 2% | +22.4 | +1.9 | -22.0 | -2.3 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 32% | 39% | 28% | 2% | +33.3 | -33.6 | +0.1 | +0.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 1,100 | 68% | 9% | 22% | 1% | -1.0 | +3.5 | -1.6 | -0.8 |
| South 2 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 18,000 from Suzuki Taro | 70% | 10% | 19% | 1% | -5.5 | +43.1 | -39.4 | +1.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 55% | 42% | 3% | 1% | -20.7 | +31.3 | -5.1 | -5.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 12,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 14% | 85% | 1% | 0% | -3.9 | +18.3 | +1.4 | -15.8 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Draw | 3% | 97% | 0% | 0% | +3.8 | -2.0 | -0.6 | -1.2 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Suzuki Daisuke ron 2,000 from Nikaido Aki | 2% | 97% | 0% | 0% | -3.4 | +1.5 | -3.0 | +4.8 |
| South 4 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -0.7 | +2.5 | +1.4 | -3.2 |