Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/19 Game 2
Sayaka Kayamori finished 1st (+89.8pt). The game was decided in South 2: Sayaka Kayamori ron 18,000 from Taro Suzuki, which moved Sayaka Kayamori's expected points by +44.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 25% | 26% | 24% | 26% | -1.0 | -4.5 | +38.2 | -32.7 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 1,100 | 20% | 19% | 54% | 7% | -0.3 | -2.6 | +3.6 | -0.6 |
| East 3 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 12,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 19% | 16% | 59% | 7% | -2.9 | +28.5 | -5.2 | -20.3 |
| East 4 | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 15% | 34% | 48% | 3% | +22.0 | +4.1 | -22.5 | -3.6 |
| South 1 | Aki Nikaido ron 12,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 31% | 41% | 27% | 2% | +33.6 | -33.8 | +0.2 | +0.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 1,100 | 69% | 10% | 20% | 1% | -0.6 | +2.0 | -0.3 | -1.1 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 18,000 from Taro Suzuki | 71% | 10% | 19% | 1% | -5.5 | +44.5 | -40.8 | +1.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000 | 55% | 43% | 2% | 1% | -21.5 | +30.8 | -5.0 | -4.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 12,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 13% | 86% | 1% | 0% | -4.1 | +18.0 | +2.6 | -16.5 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 97% | 0% | 0% | +3.7 | -1.9 | -0.5 | -1.3 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 2,000 from Aki Nikaido | 3% | 97% | 0% | 0% | -3.1 | +1.3 | -3.0 | +4.8 |
| South 4 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -0.5 | +2.7 | +1.3 | -3.4 |