Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
12/19 Table B Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+81.6pt). The game was decided in East 2: Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +31.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ishii Kazuma 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Ishii Kazuma Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 7,800 | 26% | 23% | 25% | 25% | +19.5 | -6.9 | -4.7 | -7.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Ishii Kazuma ron 7,700 from Sasaki Hisato | 39% | 20% | 21% | 20% | +18.4 | +0.9 | -21.7 | +2.4 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Ishii Kazuma ron 1,500 from Mizuhara Akina | 56% | 17% | 9% | 18% | +7.1 | -4.8 | -1.0 | -1.2 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 4,000 | 62% | 14% | 8% | 16% | -4.4 | +12.8 | -1.8 | -6.6 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 59% | 20% | 9% | 13% | -12.6 | +31.8 | -10.3 | -8.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 4,000 | 40% | 45% | 5% | 10% | +16.1 | -14.5 | -0.9 | -0.7 |
| East 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 60% | 27% | 5% | 9% | -0.6 | -1.8 | +3.1 | -0.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 60% | 27% | 5% | 9% | -1.9 | -3.1 | -12.5 | +17.5 |
| East 4 | Mizuhara Akina ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 58% | 25% | 3% | 14% | -7.4 | +27.7 | -15.7 | -4.6 |
| South 1 | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 3,000 | 41% | 50% | 1% | 8% | +8.0 | -4.8 | -1.1 | -2.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 3,200 from Ishii Kazuma | 50% | 43% | 0% | 7% | -12.4 | +11.6 | +0.5 | +0.3 |
| South 2 | Mizuhara Akina ron 5,800 from Sasaki Hisato | 34% | 59% | 0% | 7% | -5.2 | +15.2 | -7.0 | -3.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 78% | 0% | 3% | -0.6 | -5.8 | +9.7 | -3.2 |
| South 3 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 5,200 | 20% | 76% | 0% | 3% | -8.2 | +16.7 | -6.1 | -2.4 |
| South 4 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 98% | 0% | 1% | -0.6 | +7.5 | -1.8 | -5.1 |