Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

12/19 Table B Game 2

Takamiya Mari finished 1st (+54.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Takamiya Mari tsumo 4,000, which moved Takamiya Mari's expected points by +32.9.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Takamiya Mari● Miura Tomohiro● Ooi Takaharu● Kobayashi Go0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Takamiya● Miura● Ooi● Kobayashi
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTakamiya Mari
1st-place chance
Miura Tomohiro
1st-place chance
Ooi Takaharu
1st-place chance
Kobayashi Go
1st-place chance
Takamiya Mari
Expected pt change
Miura Tomohiro
Expected pt change
Ooi Takaharu
Expected pt change
Kobayashi Go
Expected pt change
East 1Miura Tomohiro ron 2,000 from Takamiya Mari27%24%25%24%-6.9+4.1+2.8-0.1
East 2Takamiya Mari ron 2,000 from Miura Tomohiro21%27%27%25%+6.4-5.8-3.3+2.7
East 3Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go25%23%24%28%+24.4+1.7-1.5-24.6
East 4Miura Tomohiro ron 6,400 from Ooi Takaharu44%22%22%12%+0.9+18.5-17.8-1.6
South 1Draw44%35%11%10%-4.2+8.1-1.0-2.9
South 2, 1 honbaOoi Takaharu tsumo 5,20038%43%11%8%+0.2-7.5+15.2-7.8
South 3Kobayashi Go tsumo 4,00040%36%17%6%+0.3+4.4-11.2+6.5
South 4Takamiya Mari tsumo 4,00039%42%8%11%+32.9-13.9-3.0-16.0

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)