Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

12/19 Table B Game 2

Mari Takamiya finished 1st (+54.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Mari Takamiya tsumo 4,000, which moved Mari Takamiya's expected points by +33.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Mari Takamiya● Tomohiro Miura● Takaharu Ooi● Go Kobayashi0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Mari● Tomohiro● Takaharu● Go
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultMari Takamiya
1st-place chance
Tomohiro Miura
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Go Kobayashi
1st-place chance
Mari Takamiya
Expected pt change
Tomohiro Miura
Expected pt change
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
Go Kobayashi
Expected pt change
East 1Tomohiro Miura ron 2,000 from Mari Takamiya26%26%25%23%-6.1+3.8-0.7+3.0
East 2Mari Takamiya ron 2,000 from Tomohiro Miura20%28%25%26%+4.4-6.6+2.0+0.2
East 3Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi23%24%27%26%+24.8+1.0-3.5-22.3
East 4Tomohiro Miura ron 6,400 from Takaharu Ooi44%23%21%13%+1.8+18.6-18.6-1.9
South 1Exhaustive draw43%36%10%11%-2.6+7.7-3.0-2.1
South 2, 1 honbaTakaharu Ooi tsumo 5,20039%43%8%9%-0.6-7.2+18.0-10.2
South 3Go Kobayashi tsumo 4,00041%36%17%7%-0.5+5.3-10.8+5.9
South 4Mari Takamiya tsumo 4,00039%44%9%9%+33.5-15.3-3.5-14.8

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)